Falcons potential draft picks by position

Ahead of this months collegiate draft I've scanned over the current Falcons roster and offered some potential options that may be under consideration at Flowery Branch. I've not looked at BPA for each position but more who could be available in the rounds Atlanta would likely consider a selection for each position.

Atlanta's Picks (as at 12th April 2016)
Rd1 overall pick #17
Rd2 overall pick #50
Rd3 overall pick #81
Rd4 overall pick #115
Rd7 overall pick #241
Atlanta forfeit Rd5 pick; Atlanta traded Rd6 pick to Tennessee Titans in exchange for Andy Levitre in 2015


Quarterback
Matt Ryan, Matt Schaub, Sean Renfree, Matt Simms
With Atlanta only holding 5 draft picks, it's highly unlikely the Falcons expend a draft pick on a passer. Matt Ryan is firmly entrenched as the starter and veteran cover was added in free agency with Matt Schaub re-uniting with the Falcons. The team is unlikely to cope with any lengthy time without Ryan behind Center but that is true of the majority of NFL franchises. The Falcons won't do anything draft-wise but may offer an opportunity to a developmental prospect who goes undrafted.
Possible Options :
Tempting If Undrafted Free Agents
Jeff Driskel (Louisiana State) - Heir apparent to Tebow at Florida but broken leg in 2013 cost him the full-time starter role. Performed well as a senior following transfer to Louisiana and has prototypical size, arm strength and above average athleticism. Question marks on accuracy but if undrafted has enough potential to warrant competing for QB3 in Atlanta. I'd certainly like to see him in an Atlanta uniform at the start of training camp.
Stephen Rivers (Northwestern) - Brother of Chargers QB Philip, his signing might make an interesting back story, but if truth be told, this would likely be no more than a camp arm signing;

Running Back
Devonta Freeman, Tevin Coleman, Terron Ward, Patrick DeMarco (FB)
A position of doubt heading into last years draft is now one of perceived strength. Freeman was nothing short of outstanding and Coleman should improve from an injury stunted rookie year. DeMarco was a surprising bonus and had a really good year at fullback. Any additions here will likely be college free agent signings only
Possible Options :
Late Round / Tempting If Undrafted Free Agents
Keith Marshall (Georgia) - would be an intriguing late round pick with local ties, scheme fit and potentially high ceiling but I can't envision Atlanta spending a draft pick or Marshall now being available after an especially fast combine 40. Ideal size and speed and well suited to a zone scheme. Injuries derailed his opportunities in college, particularly a torn ACL in 2013. Lack of college output could mean he escapes radar of many teams. However, that combine 40 may have helped dispel speed concerns and he'll likely be a mid to late round pick for someone.

Wide Receiver
Julio Jones, Mohammed Sanu, Justin Hardy, Nick Williams, Eric Weems, Devin Hester,
It's strange not seeing Roddy White on the depth chart but his role reduced dramatically last year and the lack of interest in free agency is further evidence of declining skills. Free agent signing Sanu was WR3/WR4 in Cincy but is about to be paid as a top WR2 in Atlanta and will need to raise his output to justify the salary. Without the Sanu signing, or more accurately the financial investment in Sanu to be a genuine #2, I'd have guessed Atlanta would address WR early, now I imagine a late round pick and college free agents invited to training camp. There is opportunity for a rookie to make the WR4 spot on this roster.
Possible Options :
Round 2 onwards
Charone Peake (Clemson) Size, speed and length that tick all boxes. Next in line from production line of DeAndre Hopkins, Martavis Bryant and Sammy Watkings. Potential to become a WR1, but some question marks over his hands and two previous knee surgeries with somewhat limited college output compared to his athletic potential mean that he could still be around when the Falcons start to consider WR.
Rashard Higgins (Colorado State) Huge production. Nickname of "Hollywood" is fair reflection on his self-confidence. Excellent ball-winning skills and tracks the deep ball well. Needs to improve his release and adding strength would help. Hands have improved year-on-year.
Mid to Late Rounds
Daniel Braverman (Western Michigan) Undersized at 5'10 and a little lean at under 180lbs, Braverman is likely a slot receiver in the pro's. Where he does excel though is in the open field, very quick footed showing real elusiveness after the catch. There's a role for him to make his own in Atlanta at WR3/WR4 and he's an intriguing weapon for Matt Ryan. Depending on what happens with Devin Hester, he could possibly fulfil punt returns duties effectively too.
Moritz Boehringer (No college) Real wild card from German Football League. Outstanding pro day has garnered a fair degree of media attention. Can't look past his lack of football experience though. I think he'd be 7th round value for Atlanta but suspect someone will buy into the media hype much earlier. Huge potential but no college level playing experience means an enormous learning curve at one of the harder positions to transition college to pro.


Tight End
Jacob Tamme, Levine Toilolo, D.J Tialavea
Tamme's 2015 output was a career best and proved a decent enough free agent signing, but he didn't remind anybody of Tony Gonzalez. He's serviceable but lacks speed and his blocking is below average. Back-up Toilolo's blocking has improved every year and is a strength, but more was hoped for him as a catching target than he will ever achieve. Overall it's a pretty disappointing group. It's an area of need, but Atlanta weren't aggressive in chasing any veteran options in free agency. The organisation possibly views the position as serviceable for another year, prioritising other positions higher in the draft, but don't be surprised to see a pick here either if the right player fell to them.
Possible Options :
Addressing Early
Hunter Henry (Arkansas) Arguably the best TE in a relatively weak draft class. Atlanta could be interested if he's available in the 2nd round, but he may have earlier suitors, possibly Green Bay at #27. The Falcons may also feel they have more pressing needs elsewhere. Unlike a lot of the TE draft class, Henry is a complete player, moreso than just an oversized WR - yes he's a good receiving target (51 catches and no drops in 2015) but he excelled as a run blocker too. Arkansas ran a pro-style offense so the transition to the NFL shouldn't be too great a leap. He could be a week one starter. The pro comparisons to Jason Witten and Tyler Eifert have been complementary, but he could be an upgrade over Jacob Tamme in Atlanta.
Going Mid Rounds
Nick Vannett (Ohio State) Intriguing prospect with the size and athleticism to contribute as an all round TE but was little used as a weapon at Ohio State. You can take his college career two ways, he either gained lots of experience and extensive playing time on a successful program, or you can question why he didn't put up many numbers within said program.
Late Rounds
Ben Braunecker (Harvard) Dominated at IVY league level and had a fantastic combine. The step up in class will be huge but could be a good late round pick for Atlanta where he could sit behind Tamme for a year and continue his development without too much pressure.
Tempting Undrafted Free Agent
Temarrick Hemingway (S.Carolina St) Raw but has great separation and could prove a match-up nightmare. Had a good combine performance too but has major question marks on his blocking and hands. Would be a serious long-term developmental pick if drafted, but could be considered a worthwhile project should he go undrafted.

Offensive Tackle
Jake Matthews, Ryan Schraeder, Bryce Harris, Tom Compton
The starters seem set here with both Matthews and Schraeder posting very good years. Schraeder is an RFA and likely to return with Atlanta looking to lock him up on a longer term deal. Compton was a free agent signing to provide depth which possibly rules out a draft pick used here.
Possible Options :
Tempting If Undrafted Free Agents
Tyler Johnstone (Oregon) Good size, agility and quickness, Johnstone excels in pass protection. Ideally suited to zone blocking scheme, which is fit in Atlanta. Have the injuries taken their toll? Twice torn ACL for a player who could have gone in top half of draft otherwise.
Caleb Benenoch (UCLA) Very agile and aggressive, great fit in UCLA's up-tempo spread offense.  Adjustment from the spread to the pros will take time but he's a well suited candidate for a zone block scheme. Shown some versatility at Guard and Tackle in college but probably lacks the weight and strength to be an interior lineman in the pros.

Offensive Guard
Andy Levitre, Mike Person, Ben Garland
The trade for Levitre last year could have been promising but he generally disappointed and picked up a penchant for penalties during important drives. Person has been shifted back to Guard from a failed conversion to Center but his role will be unclear until camp. Both Guard spots are obvious areas of weakness which the Falcons Front Office are trying to address via low cost veteran bodies. A mid-round draft pick is a strong possibility.
Possible Options :
Addressing Early
Cody Whitehair (Kansas State) College Left Tackle who projects as a Guard in the pro's due to lack of height and length. He's more of a technician than a powerful mauler so despite being widely accepted as the best guard prospect in the class he could be available in Rd2. He's versatile enough to provide cover across the O-line and probably better suited to a zone block scheme such as Atlanta's.
Christian Westerman (Arizona State) Athletic Guard with blocking ability on the move which should be ideally suited to zone block scheme. Could provide cover at Center too if required.
Mid to Late Round
Rees Odhiambo (Boise State) College tackle, projected to move inside. Odhiambo was injury prone in college which could see draft stock fall, but shows athleticism to thrive in zone block scheme.
Darrell Greene (San Diego State) Georgia native is a tremendously powerful mauler of a guard with a mean streak. Relatively short arms aren't ideal but the power he can generate is a big upside. He was suspended for 6 games in 2015 for positive marijuana test, so teams will be doing their due diligence. Not sure of scheme fit but great value to find a potential starter in the later rounds
Tempting If Undrafted
Jordan Walsh (Iowa) A little undersized and won't fit a power system but was a 3-yr starter at RG in college and technique improved year-on-year.

Center
Alex Mack, James Stone
The signing of Mack was a huge boost for the offense, particularly for Matt Ryan. If Mack can bounce back from a down year in 2015 the signing will be a huge success. Even if he doesn't he'll still be a significant upgrade on what the Falcons had on their 2015 roster. James Stone will provide capable back-up and the Falcons can safely be assumed to not consider this position during the draft.
Possible Options :
Spending a draft pick at Center just isn't happening;

Defensive End
Adrian Clayborn, Vic Beasley, Derrick Shelby, Tyson Jackson, Malliciah Goodman
The Falcons need more pass rush impact and will hope that Beasley kicks on from his rookie campaign and that free agent signing Shelby can carry on the impressive end of season form shown in Miami. This draft class has pretty good depth at the edge, and with rumours of Beasley spelling time as the LEO in 2017 it's likely Atlanta could add a further option from the college ranks.
Possible Options :
Addressing Early
Shaq Lawson (Clemson) Presumably Joey Bosa and Deforest Buckner will be off the board in the top 10 picks. Lawson would appear to be the next ranked DE on the majority of draft boards. Will he be available at #17? Posted 25.5 tackles for loss in 2015 with 12.5 sacks and was a consistent threat off the edge. There are some questions on his overall explosiveness as a pass rusher in the pro's but he's not one dimensional and has shown strong against the run too.
Kevin Dodd (Clemson) Lived a little in the shadow of team-mate Lawson, posting 23.5 tackles for loss in 2015 and 12 sacks. Has the physical tools and improved through the season. Is only a one year starter and has to answer how much of his success was due to a strong Clemson defense and double teaming protection onto Lawson.
Emmanuel Ogbah (Oklahoma State) More powerful than athletic, has played all across the D-line and could possibly play OLB in a 3-4. Lacks the explosion of a traditional rush end and some scouts have raised concerns over sustaining effort levels but was very productive in college and should translate success to the NFL.
Noah Spence (Eastern Kentucky) Some off-field red flag concerns to weigh-up, with failed drug tests and disorderly conduct charges, but Spence appears to have turned this around following transfer from Ohio State. Interesting player who may be a little shorter than desired at 6'2 for an end position so perhaps better eventually suited to a rush 3-4 backer, so a sub-package guy for Atlanta, but talented and has on-field smarts to become a success in the NFL.
Mid to Late Round
James Cowser (Southern Utah) Would become 1st player drafted from Southern Utah. Faces huge step up in class but did fare well against FBS teams. Has relentless high rev motor and broke Jared Allen's Big Sky Conference sack record. Worth a gamble if available in the latter rounds and would be an interesting project for Dan Quinn to work with;
Matt Judon (Grand Valley State) NFL build, burst and bend. Led the nation with 20 sacks in 2015. Technique would need a lot of work and again a large step up in class to overcome, but a good Dan Quinn project if available in the later rounds;

Defensive Tackle
Jonathan Babineaux, Rashede Hageman, Grady Jarrett, Joey Mbu
An area that is a strong candidate to be addressed during the draft, but will it be addressed early with a potential starter or is it a candidate for late round depth? Atlanta cut ties with run stuffer Paul Soliai in the offseason and stalwart Jonathan Babineaux is not getting any younger. It's possible Tyson Jackson makes a permanent move to the interior as a Soliai's replacement. One of the strengths of this draft class appears to be it's depth at DT so it would make some sense for Atlanta to address the position in the earlier to mid rounds - albeit there are many names not listed below which could be under consideration too.
Possible Options :
Addressing Early
Robert Nkemdiche (Mississippi) Scouts compare him to Seahawks Michael Bennett which could attract Coach Quinn. There's off-field red flags though which could keep him off the organisations draft board entirely.
Vernon Butler (Louisiana Tech) Under-rated prospect who could yet slide into day two. Butler's athletic and versatile enough to provide run support and good interior pass rush. Whilst his production doesn't quite match the sum of his parts yet, would be an ideal investment for Atlanta
Jarran Reed (Alabama) If Atlanta were looking for a direct replacement for Soliai then Reed would be an ideal candidate offering excellent run stop capabilities but likely subbed out in pass situations.
Mid to Late Rounds
Chris Jones (Mississippi State) A name that's creeping up the draft boards, Jones provides a good interior push and is a solid tackler. A little bit inconsistent, would appear to be high ceiling candidate if someone can get the best out of him.
Jonathan Bullard (Florida) Played both End and Tackle in college and displays power and quickness to offer both pass-rush and run-stop abilities. Probably needs to bulk up a little for DT in the pro's and would benefit from improvements to his pass-rush techniques. A good mid-draft investment.

Linebacker
Brooks Reed, Paul Worrilow, Courtney Upshaw, Phillip Wheeler, Sean Weatherspoon, Tyler Starr
The linebacker corps is in a state of flux and has lots of question marks hanging over it. One of last years free agency splurges, Brooks Reed, will need to bounceback in 2016 after missing a fair bit of training camp through injury last year he never really made the impact the Front Office hoped for. Worrilow remains serviceable but has shortcomings in coverage and would be better suited in a back-up role. Wheeler was a late season signing and has been retained. The off-season free agency signings of Upshaw and Weatherspoon have added numbers to the competition but do not immediately define an obvious depth chart or address the perceived speed and pass coverage weaknesses in the group. Weatherspoon was a popular re-signing but his role and level of play will be an unknown until training camp. Upshaw is a good run stuffer but won't be the impact pass rusher or sideline-to-sideline cover LB. A high round draft pick looks entirely likely here, with either a thumper of an inside backer or a truly fast cover LB who can offer pass rush skills.
Possible Options :
Addressing Early
Darron Lee (Ohio State) Most pundits expected pick in current mock drafts. Lee would bring much needed speed to the defense. A high school QB, he has good instincts and is quick to the ball. A decent gap blitzer, the main attraction of the pick would be the addition of much needed speed to help pass coverage at LB, a long-time weakness in the Falcons defense. He has undoubted superior speed for a linebacker but isn't the finished article in pass coverage yet. His pro success could depend on adding more muscle to his frame, he looks wiry and isn't the strongest in contact, evidenced by 21 missed and 5 broken tackles over the last 2 college years.
Reggie Ragland (Alabama) Would be a need pick and bring some intensity and leadership to the unit. Personally I think it's a bit high for an MLB in Rd1 unless you're pretty happy with the rest of your roster. Yes the Front Office likely want an upgrade over Paul Worrilow but I do think there are more pressing needs. Ragland would be a solid pick, likely be a 2-down enforcer but probably taken off the field in the sub packages - I'm thinking a Curtis Lofton type of pick.
Jaylon Smith (Notre Dame) Projected as a top 5 pick until injury in his last ever game for the Irish in the Fiesta Bowl. It's a lottery as to where his draft stock is right now. He's unlikely to contribute in 2016 so it's a probable fall out of round 1. There's some talk of nerve damage so it's almost an unknown where he could fall to. It's an ultimate high ceiling / low floor pick where he may not recover from injury but if he does someone is going to get a hell of a bargain. Is anyone brave enough within Flowery Branch to take the gamble? I'd say that if we had a higher number of draft picks this year we open up draft room talks on Smith from Rd3 onwards. The fact we're limited to 5 picks leads me to think we're unlikely to be in the running unless Smith's draft stock went into freefall or we were involved in a day one trade down which garnered additional picks to allow one to be a gamble.
Mid / Late / Undrafted
Nick Vigil (Utah State) Instinctive linebacker with impressive production last 2 years (267 tackles). Will need to add a bit of strength but has the smarts to contribute.
Cassanova McKinzy (Auburn) Experience playing inside and out; Tough inside thumper who would likely be found wanting in coverage. Possible special teams depth.
Yannick Ngakoue (Maryland) Excellent 2015 season with 15.5 sacks. Lacks the height and weight to be the full-time DE he was in college and is relatively raw still, but could be used as a situational pass rusher in the pro's with some development.
Antwione Williams (Georgia Southern) Perfect size and exceptional arm length, enough tools to warrant a late round draft pick. Would certainly have a chance to make this Falcons roster and contribute.

Cornerback
Desmond Trufant, Robert Alford, Jalen Collins, Akeem King
Trufant continued his quest to become one of the leading NFL cornerbacks and was at times ably supported by Alford. Jalen Collins mostly struggled in a rough rookie season, but this wasn't entirely unsurprising considering his limited playing time in college. A four game PED ban to start 2016 is a huge setback. Atlanta don't have much depth here and this could influence the Falcons adding some depth in the draft, particularly with Trufant and Alford's rookie deals also nearing an end
Possible Options :
Early to Mid Rounds
Eli Apple (Ohio State) Probably too highly rated to be available in the 2nd round but listing him in the mix, just in case. Apple's one of the top 3 corners in the draft so likely long gone but I've seen him fall out of Rd1 in some experts mock drafts.
Rashard Robinson (LSU) Not sure he makes the Atlanta board with off-field issues but athletically looks like a Dan Quinn corner. He would be a similar pick on many levels to last years 2nd rounder Jalen Collins. Long athlete with undeniable cover skills and recovery speed, but also extremely limited playing time in college due to team suspensions, including an indefinite suspension throughout all of 2015. All the physical tools to become a star, but with Collins on the roster, maybe a double-dip of risk at the position would be unlikely.
D.J White (Georgia Tech) Atlanta born and locally schooled, White would prove a popular pick. Team captain for Tech, with good athleticism, instincts and cover skills. Not quite ideal height or top end speed but the measurables could work in Atlanta's favour and see him fall into the middle rounds of the draft.
Late Round / Undrafted
Mike Hilton (Ole Miss) Can play man or zone and is a willing and excellent tackler in run support. At 5'9 lacks ideal height and doesn't own top level recovery speed. Played every position in the secondary in college, but would be consigned to slot corner role in the pros due to size and speed.
Kevon Seymour (USC) Injuries derailed 2015 but consequently he could fall into the latter rounds. Wasn't a major playmaker with only 3 interceptions in 3 years, but decent size, excellent NFL speed and good athleticism should garner interest later in the draft. Special teams play should help him make an NFL roster.

Safety 
Ricardo Allen, Robenson Therezie, Kemal Ishmael, Charles Godfrey
The conversion of Ricardo Allen from practice squad corner to Free Safety was a masterstroke by the coaching staff and he should return as the starter in 2016. William Moore was cut this offseason and whilst the Falcons will miss his hard hitting and off-field leadership, he couldn't stay on the field much the last few seasons. Undrafted rookie Robenson Therezie played well in patches as did Kemal Ishmael but the group does look relatively thin. With a lack of action at the position in free agency, it will be interesting to see if Atlanta consider either Therezie or Ishmael the long term answer or attempt to address during the draft. I'd expect a pick to be expended here if the right player falls within reach. I expect the wish-list is for a tall physical safety to lay some wood rather than a prototypical cover safety. I don't think back-up depth is necessary, Therezie and Ishmael are good reserves,but expect the position to be addressed if a starter calibre prospect is available in Rds 2 or 3.
Possible Options :
Addressing Early
Vonn Bell (Ohio State) Often left on an island for Ohio State as single-high and nickel safety, has reliable ball skills and has the versatility to play man or zone and decent enough in run support. Likely available in Rd2 and would be a solid option.
Karl Joseph (West Virginia) Team captain and leader for West Virginia. ACL injury limited his 2015 junior year and could affect his draft stock. Alongside Jalen Ramsey, was regarded as the best safety prospect, but the ACL means he could be available in Rd2. Despite an ultra-physical approach to the game, prior to the ACL he had been durable, starting each game of 2013 and 2014. He's a hitter but can cover deep field too. Mike Mayock compared him to Earl Thomas at the combine, that could well translate to interest from Dan Quinn.
Mid to Late Round
Keanu Neal (Florida) Highly physical, tough and aggressive tone setter. Tackling technique needs refinement but he likes to lay the wood. Played both Strong and Free for the Gators. Regarded as a little one paced but this may not be a premium for the Falcons Cover-3 system. Special teams demon in waiting who who would compete for playing time in the secondary on any team who drafts him. He'd likely be a starter in Atlanta relatively early on. I initially thought he was an ideal Rd3 pick for the Falcons, but his pre-draft stock seems to be on the up, which may mean Atlanta unfortunately miss out unless they take him in the 2nd round. Let's not dismiss the link with Dan Quinn here who recruited him to Florida.
Miles Killebrew (Southern Utah) Good sized hard-hitting safety who brings the hammer. Not as impactful in coverage but ideal for a team looking for LB/S hybrid type.
Tyvis Powell (Ohio State) The poorer relation to Vonn Bell at OSU but has size, speed and intelligence to be of interest if available at the right point in the draft. Needs to improve tackling and overall physicality.

And with this review I bid good luck to the Atlanta Falcons and to all the prospects of the 2016 NFL Draft. I'll be denying any knowledge of this article for any draft busts and claiming all credit for any late round All-Pro's listed above!

Falcons @ Titans - Preview

Atlanta Falcons @ Tennessee Titans, 1pm ET, 25th Oct 2015

The Story so Far

Atlanta (5-1) head to Tennessee following their first defeat of the Dan Quinn era; They've had extra days to prepare for this game following a Thursday night match-up in New Orleans. The Titans meanwhile sit at 1-4 and are on a 4-game losing streak with their heaviest defeat coming last weekend with a blow-out in Miami.

Flashback

The Titans hold a marginal 7-6 record in the All-time meetings.

The teams last met in 2011 with Atlanta edging a 23-17 battle with Matt Ryan throwing for 312 yards, Roddy White hauling in 6 catches for 147 yards and Tony Gonzalez passing 13,000 receiving yards. The Falcons defense held Chris Johnson to only 13 yards on 12 carries. 

Prior to that victory the Titans had held a 5-game streak over the Falcons.

Keys to Victory

The Titans overall #2 pick Marcus Mariota sits this one out with injury so 2nd year passer Zach Mettenburger goes up against Matt Ryan in the battle of the QB's. Mettenburger has a big arm but has gone 0-6 in his previous starts. 

The key to victory for the Atlanta defense will be to put pressure on Mettenburger. They'll look to do this two ways, firstly by preventing the run and making the Titans one dimensional on offense. The Falcons should succeed on this part as they have impressed against the run and are currently ranked #1 in the NFL, conceding only 78 yards / game. If they can stop the run game they will need to achieve a ramp-up in the pass-rush. Atlanta have only 7 sacks to date and will look to Adrian Clayborn and Vic Beasley to get after the passer. The Titans O-line has conceded 20 sacks in it's first 5 games so is vulnerable, despite first rounders Taylor Lewan and Chance Warmack manning the left-side.

Mettenburger looked good in spells last year, but looked vulnerable when feeling the blitz. He's been prone to throwing the ball up for grabs when under pressure so Atlanta need to limit his time in the pocket when he drops back. He's a capable #2 if given time.

Key to victory on offense is to avoid the turnovers that blighted the Saints game. Atlanta have looked balanced and moved the ball well all season thus far. If they play mistake-free they should be good enough to put points up. The O is ranked #4 on the ground with Devonta Freeman having a breakthrough year. The passing game, ranked #8, will always be strong with Matt Ryan and Julio Jones, assuming the O-line can keep Ryan upright.

Who to Stop, Who to Avoid?

TE Delanie Walker is possibly the Titans best receiver and the Falcons struggled to cover Ben Watson last Thursday. Possibly some bracket coverages on Walker will be dialled-up to take him out of the game. 

An intriguing match-up on offense could be the troubled but ultra talented rookie Dorial Green Beckham going up against Robert Alford. With Harry Douglas out, it's likely Beckham will be the main benefactor of additional playing time. Alford has had his moments, both good and bad, so their battle could be an intriguing sideline on Sunday.

When the Falcons have the ball, it will be important to contain the Titans pass-rush. The Titans D is coached by Dick Lebeau who knows how to get after a QB and he has personnel to carry out his plans. Former Georgia Tech rusher Derrick Morgan can bring the heat and has 4.5 sacks in the first 5 games of 2015. Brian Orakpo has yet to burst out following his free agency move from Washington but remains a threat and Jurrell Casey posted double digit sacks in 2013. The Titans secondary is solid if not spectacular. Time will be the key to picking them apart or to the Titans ability to keep the Falcons in check successfully.

Old Faces, New Places

The Titans welcome back Guard Andy Levitre who was traded to Atlanta during pre-season. Levitre spent the last 2 years in Tennessee and will start on the much improved Falcons O-line. Atlanta could possibly face back-up Tight End Chase Coffman who spent two seasons in Atlanta, but will avoid a match-up with former WR Harry Douglas who departed in free agency after 7 seasons and 259 catches for the Dirty Birds and has been declared out of Sundays match-up.

Put Your Money on It

The Falcons start as 5.5 point favourites and I can only echo that spread.

Atlanta have been up-and-down in recent weeks, struggling to overcome the Redskins before being downed by the Saints. They need to bounce back from defeat with an improved performance as well as the road win in Tennessee. 

The odds should be stacked against the Titans. With Mariota out and only one victory in their last 15 games they could be on a slide. However, one man out is another mans opportunity and this is Mettenburger's. A good performance here could put him in the shop window. You have to ask at what point does the pressure mount on Whistenhunt? The drafting of Mariota may have bought him a season but he's currently 3-18 in Tennessee. Atlanta's unpredictability ensures nothing can ever be a sure thing but I they should take this one by a score or more, covering the spread.

Initial 2015 Draft Grades - AFC West

 23. Missouri OLB Shane Ray
 59. Colorado State T/G Ty Sambrailo
 92. Ohio State TE Jeff Heuerman
 133. Florida C Max Garcia
 164. Tulane CB Lorenzo Doss
 203. Maryland NT Darius Kilgo
 250. Northwestern QB Trevor Siemian
 251. Tulane CB Taurean Nixon
 252. Oklahoma State SS Josh Furman

Good Move - I liked the Broncos aggressively pouncing on the sliding Shane Ray, a selection they would not have even factored a week prior to the draft. Well worth the risk in the Broncos position. I thought Ty Sambrailo to be a prototype Broncos lineman, a finesse zone guy with exceptional footwork, though he needs to develop more power and strength he should be vying for a starting role in 2015.
Bargain Pick - Max Garcia will bring versatility to the O-line having started full seasons at Guard and Center and also played some Tackle in college. He's a powerful lineman who will excel in the run game, which the Broncos want to improve. He's probably not the ideal fit for a zone block scheme but Manny Ramirez was shopped as part of the move up for Shane Ray, so Garcia should compete for the starting Center spot in camp.
Risk / Reward Gamble - Shane Ray was regarded as a top 10 pick until reports of a foot injury and a citation for marijuana possession the week before the draft. His stock fell and Denver were the beneficiaries, trading up to #23 to take advantage. Ray is fast and explosive and regarded as one of the best pass-rushers in the draft, though is short-armed and could struggle to get off blocks. He could be a bargain and long-term replacement for Demarcus Ware but there are red flags here too.
Tell Me Why Again? - I didn't particularly like the late round picks for a team looking for immediate impact in a Superbowl push. I also thought Jeff Heuerman was a high-pick for a Broncos team with depth at TE but his superior blocking may get him some playing time.

 18. Washington CB Marcus Peters
 49. Missouri OL Mitch Morse
 76. Georgia WR Chris Conley
 98. Oregon State CB Steven Nelson
 118. Georgia ILB Ramik Wilson
 172. Oregon State LB D.J. Alexander
 173. Illinois State TE James O'Shaughnessy
 217. Southern Miss DT Rakeem Nunez-Roches
 233. Northern Illinois WR Da'Ron Brown

Good Move - The Chiefs primary need was to address the secondary. The Peters pick at #18 has plenty of associated risk so the double-down on corner with the talented Steven Nelson at #98 was a smart move.
Bargain Pick - James O'Shaughnessy will be given time to develop behind Travis Kelce but brings good hands, athleticism and speed. He won't offer much as a blocker initially but could be a mismatch out wide.
Risk / Reward Gamble - On the field, Marcus Peters brings prototype size for a corner, a 38% completion rate when targeted during the last 2 seasons in college and 8 interceptions. Off the field, Peters was suspended for one game in 2014 for a sideline tirade, then kicked off the team for multiple run-ins with coaching staff. It's a positional need pick for the Chiefs and for Peters it's probably a huge plus that Andy Reid will be his Head Coach. Can the Chiefs manage his personality in exchange for on-field performance?
Tell Me Why Again? - Mitch Morse at #49 seemed far too high for an intelligent but athletically limited O-lineman who will be transitioning inside from Tackle in the pro's. It only fits though that an Andy Reid led team should choose at least one lineman in the early rounds.

 4. Alabama WR Amari Cooper
 35. Florida State DL Mario Edwards
 68. Miami TE Clive Walford
 128. Miami OG Jon Feliciano
 140. Kansas LB Ben Heeney
 161. Florida LB Neiron Ball
 179. Virginia LB/DE Max Valles
 218. Tennessee State OT Anthony Morris
 221. Florida WR Andre Debose
 242. Kansas CB Dexter McDonald

Good Move - Oakland prioritised some targets for Derek Carr high up the draft and in almost un-Oakland like fashion selected Amari Cooper at #4 who was regarded as one of the more sure-fire players in the draft - the highly polished receiver will start Day One. Clive Walford is a receiving TE and he too could push to start early in his career but must improve his blocking.
Bargain Pick - Max Valles is a development pick for Oakland but someone who I enjoyed watching at Virginia working the opposite OLB spot from Eli Harold who went exactly 100 picks earlier to the 49ers. Valles may be more athlete right now, but was productive in college. If he can continue to develop and maybe bulk up a little, the Raiders could have a real value late round pick.
Risk / Reward Gamble - Mario Edwards was an enigma at Florida State, showing flashes of brilliance but consistently underachieving. There are some weight issues to address too, and it will be a tough challenge for Oakland to transfer his level of ability into his level of play.
Tell Me Why Again? - Unlike many previous drafts, it's hard to pick too many holes in this draft class. Oakland have come out with a handful of starters, some players with opportunities to start / contribute, then later round high measurables guys to be developed. They've rolled the dice with Edwards but I think we can afford them one typical Raiders gamble at least. This roster still has many holes but a step in the right direction.

 15. Wisconsin RB Melvin Gordon
 48. Miami ILB Denzel Perryman
 83. Texas State CB Craig Mager
 153. North Dakota State OLB Kyle Emanuel
 192. Arkansas DT Darius Philon

Good Move - RB was a need position and Melvin Gordon was inarguably one of the top 2 running backs in the draft class. He starts for the Chargers immediately and instantly upgrades the offense.
Bargain Pick - Kyle Emanuel dominated at FCS level (19 sacks in 2014) but will find a steep upward curve from small school competition to the NFL. However he has a good first step burst, a non-stop motor and remained productive against top 25 teams too. Based on all these, he has an opportunity to make his mark and could prove to be a bargain 5th round pick.
Risk / Reward Gamble - Denzel Perryman is undersized at 5'11 and relatively slow (ran a 4.78 40 at the combine) but was a productive thumper at Miami. He's likely a 2-down LB but there's a need in San Diego and Perryman could replace Butler or Te'o if his smarts can overcome physical limitations. Comparisons to Vilma and Beason may be flattering but if he lived up to them, San Diego would be delighted.
Tell Me Why Again? - The Chargers parted with their 2015 4th rounder and 2016 fifth rounder in order to move up just 2 places to leapfrog the Texans and select Melvin Gordon. It demonstrated how desperate the Chargers were to obtain a replacement for Ryan Matthews but this seemed a heavy price to pay for just a 2 spot move, particularly when it was not a clear cut decision that the Texans would go RB. The only other quibble would be the absence of an O-lineman from the draft class. With only 5 picks opportunities were a little limited, but I would have been handing in the card for T.J Clemmings at #83 rather than Craig Mager who seemed a bit of a reach this early.

Initial 2015 Draft Grades - AFC North

 26. Central Florida WR Breshad Perriman
 55. Minnesota TE Maxx Williams
 90. Iowa DT Carl Davis
 122. Kentucky DE/LB Za'Darius Smith
 125. USC RB Javorius Allen
 136. Texas Southern CB Tray Walker
 171. Delaware TE Nick Boyle
 176. Tennessee State OG Robert Myers
 204. Georgia Tech WR Darren Waller

Good Move - Joe Flacco needed help at the skill positions and Ozzie Newsome delivered. Perriman is  tall and super-fast  - potentially a great Torrey Smith replacement if he can improve his hands. Maxx Williams should contribute at TE - both he and Boyle are insurance against the return of Dennis Pitta, and Javorius Allen will help spell Justin Forsett at RB.
Bargain Pick - Za'Darius Smith may be one dimensional but looks a good fit for the Ravens as a pass-rushing OLB. Smith had more QB pressures in 2014 than his college team-mate Bud Dupree who went 100 picks earlier to the Steelers. It will be interesting to see if Newsome can get one over their divisional rivals with this pick.
Risk / Reward Gamble - The Carl Davis pick at the top-end of the draft has boom/bust potential. Davis possesses all the 1st round-type measurables to become a dominant force but questions remain on productivity and commitment. I liked the gamble of Darren Waller from Georgia Tech's run option offense - he's a 6'6 receiver that will need coaching. Add in one-game team suspensions in 2013 and 2014 and you have the classic mix of unrealised on-field potential coupled with off-field issues.
Tell Me Why Again? - Why aren't other teams as good as the Ravens at drafting? Ozzie Newsome again goes out and obtains top talent in areas of need for the Ravens. You could make a case for the Ravens first 3 picks all going in Rd 1 and all of the draftees in this class could contribute by 2016.

 21. Texas A&M OT Cedric Ogbuehi
 53. Oregon OT Jake Fisher
 85. Rutgers TE Tyler Kroft
 99. TCU LB Paul Dawson
 120. USC CB Josh Shaw
 135. Arizona State DT Marcus Hardison
 157. Auburn TE C.J. Uzomah
 197. Fresno State FS Derron Smith
 238. West Virginia WR/KR Mario Alford

Good Move - I'm a big fan of Tyler Kroft who can block, has good hands, and is more athletic than given credit for. He's been a victim of system and poor QB play at Rutgers, I had him ranked not far behind Maxx Williams and loved the Bengals pick of him here. He'll be the #2 behind Tyler Eifert but the Bengals use a lot of these sets so he should see plenty of playing time.
Bargain Pick - Derron Smith of Fresno State would have likely been a high round pick if you gave him a couple of extra inches in height and took away his sports hernia surgery. An absolute bargain in the 6th round,  a 4-yr starter, Smith has excellent coverage skills and will make this roster.
Risk / Reward Gamble - I considered putting Cedric Ogbuehi here due to his ACL injury sustained in the bowl game against Virginia, but Paul Dawson figures to be a real wildcard. He was very productive at TCU and I had him mocked at #29 in the 1st round, but he didn't fare well at the combine and off-the-field concerns contributed to his slide. If the Bengals can get him to buy into the programme they could have a bargain pick, but Dawson could be true boom or bust.
Tell Me Why Again? - Not sure why the Bengals doubled down on tackles in the 1st two rounds. It seemed excessive though both current starters are in contract years - at least in Ogbuehi and Fisher they grabbed two of the better tackles in the draft.

 12. Washington NT Danny Shelton
 19. Florida State OL Cameron Erving
 51. Utah OLB Nate Orchard
 77. Miami RB Duke Johnson
 96. Washington State DT Xavier Cooper
 115. Northwestern S Ibraheim Campbell
 123. Washington State WR Vince Mayle
 189. Louisville CB Charles Gaines
 195. Mississippi State TE Malcolm Johnson
 198. USC TE Randall Telfer
 219. USC ILB Hayes Pullard
 241. Oregon DB Ifo Ekpre-Olomu

Good Move - The Browns amassing 12 picks to strengthen the roster. I particularly liked the Danny Shelton pick, he's a huge plug in the middle, but mobile too. He's an instant starter and there's no way the Browns finish #32 in run defense two consecutive seasons now. It was noticeable how all the Browns early defensive picks featured prominently as strong against the run.
Bargain Pick - I believe Ifo Ekpre-Olomu in the 7th round ranks as one of the bargains of the draft. He's undersized but is a gutsy battler and equally comfortable in man or zone. Reminds me a little of Brent Grimes. He's coming off a bad knee injury which probably affected his draft stock. He's got a bit of a depth chart to overcome, including Charles Gaines selected 52 places before him, but he's talented enough to stick around and hopefully play in sub-packages in 2015.
Risk / Reward Gamble - Vince Mayle had over 100 catches in 2014 but also an enormous 19 drops to his name. He's elusive with the ball in hand, but can he catch it in the pro's? There's a need at WR in Cleveland so he has a chance to stick - if he can just make that ball stick to his hands.
Tell Me Why Again? - There's always questions with the Browns. Who is going to be their QB? Why wasn't a #1 WR selected in what was a deep class and a glaring need? Why did they select Cameron Erving at Center when one of their top players is Alex Mack? All in all though, a more sensible draft than in previous years, where they've gambled on players with questionable character or off-field red flags (Josh Gordon, Johnny Manziel et al)

 22. Kentucky OLB Bud Dupree
 56. Ole Miss CB Senquez Golson
 87. Auburn WR Sammie Coates
 121. Ohio State CB Doran Grant
 160. Penn State TE Jesse James
 199. Central Michigan DE Leterrius Walton
 212. Miami OLB Anthony Chickillo
 239. Louisville S Gerod Holliman

Good Move - Senquez Golson has some seriously good ball skills - and a ratio of 10 picks per 3 passes defensed showing how dangerous he can be when the ball comes his way. At only 5'9 and under 180 pounds he's a bit small and lightweight and may be exposed against the run but is an A+ rated zone corner.
Bargain Pick - Leterrius Walton is a development pick who figures to gain some playing time in sub-packages as a rush end. One of the most productive college pass-rushers, the step-up in level of competition is likely to be huge, but he helps address the Steelers need for youth on their D-line.
Risk / Reward Gamble - Bud Dupree at #22 could be a massive risk / reward reach. His draft stock rose immeasurably following a freakish combine performance but whilst his athleticism is undeniable, scouts question his production and consistency.
Tell Me Why Again? - The absence of any sure-fire picks worries me about this draft class. I could go through each draftee and list at least one major concern for each player. It's either a brave developmental draft class with a lot of faith shown in Mike Tomlin's coaching staff, or a draft class with too many reach picks and question marks. Only time will tell.

Initial 2015 Draft Grades - AFC East

 50. Florida State CB Ronald Darby
 81. Louisville OG John Miller
 155. Florida State RB Karlos Williams
 188. Clemson LB Tony Steward
 194. Florida State TE Nick O'Leary
 234. Central Arkansas WR Dezmin Lewis

Good Move - The Bills addressed a pressing need with an interior O-lineman in the 3rd round. Miller should be in the mix for a starting role during training camp.
Bargain Pick - Nick O'Leary is an old school TE, not the most athletic or speedy but has excellent hands and will put his body on the line blocking. He has enough smarts to become a contributor, possibly as the #2 TE on the Bills roster behind big money free agent Charles Clay.
Risk / Reward Gamble - Dezmin Lewis is a tall receiver who dominated at the FCS level. It's a huge step up, but he looked good against stronger opposition against Texas Tech and in the Senior Bowl.
Tell Me Why Again? - The Bills had no 1st rounder following the trade-up for Sammy Watkins last year, but I won't judge the class on that. The draft strategy seemed confused - Darby is a good DB but joins a crowded secondary; Karlos Williams, an average back on a good Florida State team, lacks natural RB instincts having converted from DB and will sit behind at least LeSean McCoy and Fred Jackson on the depth chart; The Bills had pressing needs that were largely ignored in favour of average players at positions of strength.

 14. Louisville WR DeVante Parker
 52. Oklahoma DT Jordan Phillips
 114. Arizona State OG Jamil Douglas
 145. Memphis CB Bobby McCain
 149. Boise State RB Jay Ajayi
 150. Minnesota S Cedric Thompson
 156. Michigan State DB/WR Tony Lippett

Good Move - I liked the Parker pick but the Jordan Phillips selection was a stormer for Miami at #52 and a position of need for the franchise. A Rd1 talent (I'd mocked him to the Pats at #32), Phillips should be an interior anchor on the D-line for the Dolphins from Day One.
Bargain Pick - Jay Ajayi was in my discussions in the second tier of RB's (Tevin Coleman, Ameer Abdullah) in this class and for him to slip due to a concern over his knee could leave Miami with an absolute bargain pick. The British born RB has some off-field red flags which he has rebounded from whilst at Boise, and could push to start or share the load in Miami.
Risk / Reward Gamble - Tony Lippett played CB, WR and special teams in college and it's his versatility and size that gives him a great shot at making the roster. He only played 88 defensive snaps last year but it appears Miami project him as an NFL corner. A good developmental pick.
Tell Me Why Again? - I really liked this class and could see all draftees contributing in 2015, albeit Lippett may benefit from a practice squad year. Throw in Ndamukong Suh and I feel Miami have had a pretty good off-season to date.

 32. Texas DT Malcolm Brown
 64. Stanford S Jordan Richards
 97. Oklahoma DE/LB Geneo Grissom
 101. Arkansas DE Trey Flowers
 111. Florida State OG Tre' Jackson
 131. Georgia Tech C Shaq Mason
 166. Navy LS Joe Cardona
 178. Mississippi State LB/S Matthew Wells
 202. Arkansas TE AJ Derby
 247. Marshall CB Darryl Roberts
 253. Alabama LB Xzavier Dickson

Good Move - Trey Flowers was arguably the nation's top DE against the run in college last year and shows power to generate pressure via pass rush too. He should earn plenty of snaps in rotation, particularly on first 2 downs.  

Bargain Pick - AJ Derby has size, speed and hands. Positional experience is limited having played only 1-yr at TE having played LB and QB - quite a unique mix. It's a deep TE depth chart in New England but a great place for a young TE to develop. A good fit all round.

Risk / Reward Gamble - Tre' Jackson is a 4-yr starter at National Champs Florida State, and was expected to be one of the top guards available but for an undistinguished 2014. Jackson has the size, but relied on that more than skill in college. Needs to control his weight and conditioning. 

Tell Me Why Again? - Hard to ever question Bill Belichick, but being picky S Jordan Richards seemed a few rounds too early. He was the only player in the Pats first 6 picks that will not play in the trenches, so a definite statement by New England. My only other question would be why no WR and why CB so late? They're the Superbowl champs though, so who am I to argue?

 6. USC DE Leonard Williams

 37. Ohio State WR Devin Smith

 82. Louisville OLB Lorenzo Mauldin

 103. Baylor QB Bryce Petty

 152. Texas A&M OG Jarvis Harrison

 223. Northwestern State DT Deon Simon

Good Move - Obtaining the general consensus best player in the draft by simply sitting at #6. It wasn't an area of need, but the Jets took advantage of the surprise pick of Scherff which shuffled the top end of the draft. The Jets D-line looks pretty formidable right now and with excellent depth.

Bargain Pick -  What Lorenzo Mauldin lacks in explosiveness he will make up for with non-stop effort. Has decent pass rush moves and is a high character guy who has battled a difficult background to become a highly productive college player and potential NFL starter.

Risk / Reward Gamble - Bryce Petty will at best be the Jets #3 but when you have Chan Gailey on your coaching staff I guess it makes some sense to have a developmental QB to bring on. Petty comes from a spread offense but does have good size and a strong arm. 

Tell Me Why Again? - It's undisputed that the Jets had more pressing needs than Williams but I can't argue with the BPA pick. Devin Smith is a potential home-run receiver and Lorenzo Mauldin should compete for playing time. However, the Jets draft still feels a little underwhelming beyond those 3 picks. The QB pick seemed a luxury when RB is a dire need and people like Ajayi, Langford, Cobb and other productive backs were still on the board.

Initial 2015 Draft Grades - AFC South

 16. Wake Forest CB Kevin Johnson
 43. Mississippi State ILB Benardrick McKinney
 70. Arizona State WR Jaelen Strong
 175. Michigan State WR Keith Mumphery
 211. South Florida OLB Reshard Cliett
 216. Rice DT Christian Covington
 235. LSU RB Kenny Hilliard

Good Move - I didn't have Johnson down as the #2 corner in the draft, but based on the Texans depth chart, the decision on taking their best rated corner makes a lot of sense. Johnson will probably back-up Joseph and Jackson and play in the nickel D in 2015.
Bargain Pick - I mocked Jaelen Strong late in Rd1 so for him to fall into the 3rd round was an absolute steal for the Texans. He'll be a big, strong, possession-type receiver, and a perfect complement opposite DeAndre Hopkins. Can't argue with Day One starter in Round 3.
Risk / Reward Gamble - Christian Covington suffered a dislocated kneecap in 2014 and his recovery makes this 6th round pick a risk. He's verstatile enough to play on a 3 or 4 D-line, assuming full recovery, has power and quickness to make the roster and contribute.
Tell Me Why Again? - McKinney drew a lot of mixed reviews from scouts but for me many of the later round picks were more questionable. Mumphery doesn't have NFL type attributes and his playing time in college was reduced over the last 2 years, Cliett shows some pass-rush skills but was projected to go undrafted and Hilliard has yet to reach 100 carries a season in college so his contribution in the pro's is surely limited?

29. Miami WR Phillip Dorsett
 65. Florida Atlantic CB D'Joun Smith
 93. Stanford DE Henry Anderson
 109. Central Florida SS Clayton Geathers
 151. Stanford NT David Parry
 205. Mississippi State RB Josh Robinson
 207. Georgia ILB Amarlo Herrera
 255. Mars Hill T/G Denzell Goode

Good Move - Targeting depth on the D-line and addressing the run defense. Henry Anderson was value at #93 following a productive 2014 at Stanford. He should fit into the starting rotation early on.
Bargain Pick - The second Stanford D-lineman chosen by the Colts in this class, David Parry fits a position of need for Indy as a powerful, stocky interior lineman who can generate some pass rush. He could be real good value in the 5th. Whilst he played just under 50% of snaps in college, I'd temper that with him playing hurt in the 2nd half of 2014. He'll likely be used in a rotation for the Colts. Josh Robinson in the 6th may also contribute as a powerful, hard-running back.
Risk / Reward Gamble - D'Joun Smith is a talented, athletic corner but comes from a small school program and will need to adjust to the step-up in class. Top-end speed is a question and he didn't play much slot in college, so he may be limited to sub-packages in his rookie year.
Tell Me Why Again? - Indy drew criticism for taking Phillip Dorsett when there were far more pressing needs on the roster - Dorsett has big-play written all over him so can understand the Colts taking BPA rather than addressing a need, but I wonder how much pressure GM Ryan Grigson feels he is under after a few underwhelming draft classes? Is Dorsett a swing for the fences? Geathers is a potential big hitting box-safety but is inconsistent and whilst amassing tackles as a 4-yr starter, is prone to missed tackles. The 4th round just felt too high for him.

 3. Florida DE/LB Dante Fowler
 36. Alabama RB T.J. Yeldon
 67. South Carolina OG A.J. Cann
 104. Louisville FS James Sample
 139. Florida State WR Rashad Greene
 180. Ohio State DT Michael Bennett
 220. Monmouth WR/TE Neal Sterling
 229. Notre Dame TE Ben Koyack

Good Move - In my opinion, the Jags really nailed this draft class. It was a great mix of highly productive college players with skills transferable to the NFL with a few less productive college players who have all the tools to be developed into NFL starters in the future. I can potentially see all 8 draftees contributing in 2015 with the top 6 picks potentially starters by 2016.
Bargain Pick -  I really like Rashad Greene who may be limited in the pro's to a polished slot type receiver but the value here was Michael Bennett who I mocked as a 1st round pick to the Lions. He's a disruptor who may need to improve strength but was an absolute steal in the 6th.
Risk / Reward Gamble - James Sample is an intriguing prospect who had a productive 2014. He's a strong, physical safety, probably better against the run than in coverage right now. Perhaps a developmental pick after only 1 full season starting in Louisville after transfer from Washington.
Tell Me Why Again? -  I'll struggle to argue with any of this class. If I'm trying to be subjective, I didn't like the T.J Yeldon pick that much. RB was a need but I simply feel other backs such as Ameer Abdullah, Tevin Coleman and Jay Adayi had a bigger upside than Yeldon.
A bit of a post-draft footnote. Tell Me Why Again? Why are the Jags are so unlucky? The first rookie minicamp and top-pick Dante Fowler is lost for the year. 

2. Oregon QB Marcus Mariota
 40. Missouri WR Dorial Green-Beckham
 66. Utah OT Jeremiah Poutasi
 100. Auburn DL Angelo Blackson
 108. Alabama FB Jalston Fowler
 138. Minnesota RB David Cobb
 177. Louisville OLB Deiontrez Mount
 208. Boston College C Andy Gallik
 245. William & Mary WR Tre McBride

Good Move - The Titans were accused of being rudderless by Eddie George in the lead-up to the draft. The selection of Mariota gives the franchise a new direction. There's lots to like about Mariota. Any pick on a QB is always a risk, but I really feel the Titans needed something like this to stir them.
Bargain Pick - I couldn't decide whether Cobb (5th round) or Mount (6th round) was best value. I think they are probably situational part-time guys but both stand a chance at making significant contributions in their rookie years. Cobb is a powerful downhill runner who probably won't contribute much on passing downs but is a chain-mover. Mount brings good awareness and versatility of playing across the front 7 in college, but probably lacks the size to play full time on the D-line.
Risk / Reward Gamble - Dorial Green Beckham alone could be the reason for this Risk / Reward section. A fabulously talented receiver, DGB comes with more red flags than the Russian Army on Victory Day. The flags are off-field (burglary, assault, marijuana)  and on-field (poor route running, lack of work ethic). The comparisons to a young Randy Moss are based on his unique blend of size (6'5) and speed (4.49 40) but could equally apply to perceived red flags with Moss. DGB has not played football for a year after being kicked-off the Missouri team. This is a real wildcard of a pick.
Tell Me Why Again? - If the trade offer from the Eagles for #2 overall was genuine why not take the security of productive, known NFL quantities and multiple picks to help strengthen your franchise further rather than take the risk on a single player? The top of this draft class has major boom / bust potential. Mariota is exceedingly high character but will need development time and isn't necessarily a sure thing. Green-Beckham is uber-talented but the Titans know this is a complete roll of the dice. It's brave, but the Titans Front Office is under pressure and it's reflected in the risky nature of the picks at the top of this class. As such it's a very hard draft class to call.

Initial 2015 Draft Grades - NFC West

 24. Florida OT D.J. Humphries
 58. Missouri OLB Markus Golden
 86. Northern Iowa RB David Johnson
 116. Delaware State DE Rodney Gunter
 158. West Virginia DE/OLB Shaq Riddick
 159. UAB KR/WR J.J. Nelson
 256. Louisville TE Gerald Christian

Good Move - David Johnson was a sensible pick for the Cardinals - a big, bruising back to act as an effective foil for Andre Ellington. He can catch too. Scouts question his vision, and his blocking will need to improve too, but should provide a good contrast to what the Cards currently have and boost the run game immediately.
Bargain Pick - Nothing stands out here in the latter rounds - J.J.Nelson was lightning quick in the 40 at the combine but at only 156 lbs is very lightweight. Maybe he will surprise as a KR after posting a 38.7 yd average in his last season in college.
Risk / Reward Gamble - D.J Humphries will probably start wk1 for Arizona at RT. He relies on superior athleticism and power, the step up in class will negate some of this advantage. The Cards will need to help develop his fundamentals if they are to transition him to LT in a few years.
Tell Me Why Again? - The Cardinals traded 3 picks 123, 198 and 241 to move up only 7 picks, then took small school Rodney Gunter who wasn't expected to be drafted. The final half of the class were all borderline draft prospects / likely free agents. This is either fantastic scouting by Arizona or long-shot reaches.

 17. Oregon DE Arik Armstead
 46. Samford S Jaquiski Tartt
 79. Virginia OLB Eli Harold
 117. Oklahoma TE Blake Bell
 126. South Carolina RB Mike Davis
 132. Georgia Tech WR DeAndre Smelter
 165. Clemson P Bradley Pinion
 190. Boston College OG Ian Silberman
 244. Florida OG Trent Brown
 254. South Carolina TE Rory Anderson

Good Move - Trading down in round 1 and still obtaining the player everyone knew they were interested in. Now whether Armstead will translate his physical gifts into production, time will tell. But you can't argue with the Niners obtaining the man they wanted plus a 4th round pick in this draft and a 5th rounder in 2016.
Bargain Pick - Virginia's Eli Harold was a great pick at #79 for someone with a borderline 1st round grade. He'll be a good fit for the 49ers 3-4 system too. He's a deep depth chart at OLB to contend with in SF but should see time as an edge rusher in spells and will need to earn playing time. I loved Busta Anderson in the 7th, he's got the athleticism to stretch defenses and should stick around.
Risk / Reward Gamble - Tartt wasn't projected so high but with Randall and Collins off the board maybe the Niners saw the Safety class depleting quickly. He's a thumper of a Safety but playing at Samford he's going to be a work in progress in coverage. Development pick in the 2nd round.
Tell Me Why Again? - With Patrick Willis and Chris Borland retiring ILB appeared the 49ers most pressing need but the position wasn't even addressed in the latter rounds. CB also appeared a need which was ignored. The Tartt pick seemed a little high but I'll give the benefit to GM Trent Baalke with this one who might be looking Yr 2 and beyond. Indeed, the overall draft class felt a little like the start of a 3-yr plan - was it too developmental? I can't ignore the fact that a Punter with a 42yd average was selected in the middle of this class either.

 63. Michigan DE Frank Clark
 69. Kansas State WR/KR Tyler Lockett
 130. San Diego State T/G Terry Poole
 134. West Virginia G/C Mark Glowinski
 170. Towson CB Tye Smith
 209. Oregon State DE Obum Gwacham
 214. Buffalo OG Kristjan Sokoli
 248. Oregon State DB Ryan Murphy

Good Move - The pre-draft trade of their 1st round pick and C Max Unger for TE Jimmy Graham will steal the headlines. However, the Seahawks were enamoured with Tyler Lockett and whilst they sacrificed a number of picks to obtain him at #69, he will offer them a similar outlet to Percy Harvin previously. Lockett is most likely a slot receiver in the pro's, but played outside in college too. He will be heavily involved in returning kicks also. Can he bulk-up without losing speed?
Bargain Pick - Mark Glowinski was largely unheralded but is a hard-working and powerful Guard who retains good footwork from previously playing the Tackle position. Has a good chance to contribute on the Seahawk O-line due to his versatility.
Risk / Reward Gamble - The selection of Frank Clark divided opinion. He has a large amount of talent but it comes with an awful lot of off-the-field baggage including a second degree felony charge in 2012 for home invasion and theft and a recent plea bargain which avoided first degree charges for domestic violence and assault. On-the-field, Clark can be a powerful edge rusher. When you've been to the Superbowl twice in two years, I guess you can afford to take this Boom or Bust risk.
Tell Me Why Again? - We shouldn't doubt the Seahawks Front Office - so just Tell Me Why they can pick stand-out athletes with relatively average college productivity in the back-end of the draft and turn them into starters? Gwacham, Sokoli and Murphy all hit that same mould of athletic stand-outs who will need development by their position coaches.

 10. Georgia RB Todd Gurley
 57. Wisconsin OT Rob Havenstein
 72. Louisville OG Jamon Brown
 89. Oregon State QB Sean Mannion
 119. Iowa OT Andrew Donnal
 201. Missouri WR Bud Sasser
 215. Fresno State OG Cody Wichmann
 224. Baylor LB Bryce Hager
 227. Memphis DL Martin Ifedi

Good Move - The Rams realise one of their weaknesses has been on the O-line and they have at least attempted to address this with 4 O-linemen selected in their draft class of 9. They'll need at least a 50% success rate from these 4 draftees.
Bargain Pick - Cody Wichmann could surprise - he's a decent size guard and despite playing in the Mountain West, performed admirably when faced with top talent such as Leonard Williams and Randy Gregory in 2014. There's opportunity in St Louis for Wichmann to make his mark.
Risk / Reward Gamble - Todd Gurley is a top 5 talent and arguably the best running back out of college since Adrian Peterson. However, coming off an ACL injury it's a calculated risk for St Louis that Gurley will return back to the same player he was post-injury at Georgia. This was a brave pick and the success of the draft class could be on the back of how Gurley recovers from injury.
Tell Me Why Again? - Sean Mannion in the 3rd round feels like a real overstretch. He was very inconsistent in 2014 and is at best a game manager at QB who will have to rely on a strong supporting cast to be successful. When the Rams have holes to fill, a 3rd round pick on someone I'd class as a career back-up feels like a wasted pick.