Arguably the highest ranked players in this class in terms of pro grades are at the less fashionable, lower draft valued positions. It sets up a fascinating first night of the draft. We're likely to see over-drafting at the QB position, but for teams with a need at QB it's going to potentially result in some of the very best of this class falling into the middle of the first round.
In terms of my mock, it's straight forward rules as ever - no trades projected unless confirmed prior to draft, once off the board a player can't be projected as a pick to another team.
With that said, let's get it started....
1. Cleveland Browns - QB Sam Darnold (USC)
Wentz, Goff, Trubisky, Watson, Mahomes.... just a list of some of the QB's the Browns have passed on in the first round in the last two years. The Browns have two first round picks in 2018 and a further three in the second round. Let's give some credit to deposed GM Sashi Brown for assembling a host of draft picks that should benefit the new GM John Dorsey and significantly upgrade the roster from the 2018 class.
The Browns are slated to pick at #1 and #4 in the first round which gives them an incredibly strong position at the top of the draft. With Tyrod Taylor on board you could argue the Browns could be tempted to take Saquon Barkley here but the pressure on the Browns to find their own Wentz at the top of this draft will probably be too great. Not only have they passed on some upcoming stars in the previous few drafts, Taylor is in the final season of his contract the Browns picked up from Buffalo. With the Giants and Jets positioned at #2 and #3 respectively, they could both feasibly select a QB and leave Cleveland with their third preference rookie passer when they come to pick again at #4
The betting money seems to be on the Browns picking USC QB Sam Darnold here. Darnold's 2017 campaign wasn't as strong as 2016 but neither was his supporting cast. Darnold is a prototype size QB and on-field leader with experience in a pro-style offense. However, his tool set needs work, he's certainly not the NFL ready QB that some people have portrayed him as - yet. But with Tyrod Taylor the likely starting QB come week 1, Darnold can be allowed to develop at his own rate and the Browns can work on his suspect release and his propensity to hold the ball in one hand when under pressure (9 lost fumbles in 2017).
The Browns are slated to pick at #1 and #4 in the first round which gives them an incredibly strong position at the top of the draft. With Tyrod Taylor on board you could argue the Browns could be tempted to take Saquon Barkley here but the pressure on the Browns to find their own Wentz at the top of this draft will probably be too great. Not only have they passed on some upcoming stars in the previous few drafts, Taylor is in the final season of his contract the Browns picked up from Buffalo. With the Giants and Jets positioned at #2 and #3 respectively, they could both feasibly select a QB and leave Cleveland with their third preference rookie passer when they come to pick again at #4
The betting money seems to be on the Browns picking USC QB Sam Darnold here. Darnold's 2017 campaign wasn't as strong as 2016 but neither was his supporting cast. Darnold is a prototype size QB and on-field leader with experience in a pro-style offense. However, his tool set needs work, he's certainly not the NFL ready QB that some people have portrayed him as - yet. But with Tyrod Taylor the likely starting QB come week 1, Darnold can be allowed to develop at his own rate and the Browns can work on his suspect release and his propensity to hold the ball in one hand when under pressure (9 lost fumbles in 2017).
Pick Fact : This is the 7th occasion a team has picked overall #1 in consecutive years since the collegiate draft began in 1936. Oh, and the last time? It was Cleveland again back in 1999/2000 (Tim Couch and Courtney Brown were the picks)
2. New York Giants - QB Josh Rosen (UCLA)
How much longer for Eli Manning? My eyes tell me not long but it's a hard thing to draw closure on a two-time super bowl winner behind centre. Do the Giants regard themselves as a win now team in Eli's twilight or a team in transition with new GM and Head Coach who have the luxury of a rebuild process and sitting a rookie passer to learn from a veteran in his 15th year?
It seems that the Giants have confidence Eli will see out the remaining two years of his contract. It remains to be seen if the new Front Office have the same confidence as the previous incumbents in 2017 3rd round pick Davis Webb as understudy and future starter or use this unique position to draft their QB of the future.
It seems that the Giants have confidence Eli will see out the remaining two years of his contract. It remains to be seen if the new Front Office have the same confidence as the previous incumbents in 2017 3rd round pick Davis Webb as understudy and future starter or use this unique position to draft their QB of the future.
My own take is that I think this pick is highly tradeable. I could see the Broncos making a move from #5 if they had a strong interest in someone. I also think that Dave Gettleman's former disciple Brandon Beane in Buffalo owns two first rounders and a QB need. To this end I'm surprised the Jets didn't make a strong play for the #2 pick to avoid being leapfrogged in their QB search. Maybe the Jets are confident in the direction the Giants are going. I'm not.
Dave Gettleman doesn't have a history of trading down, and the #2 pick offers the Giants a broad selection to take Eli's eventual successor. If, the Front Office decide to address the immediate needs instead this would maybe see the Giants select RB Saquon Barkley who I think is the best prospect in the entire class. This would be a team need and a BPA decision. The Giants could also look to grab an edge rusher such as Bradley Chubb to replace traded Jason Pierre Paul or the best O-lineman Quenton Nelson to pair with recently signed ex-Pat Nate Solder. However, it's not often the Giants pick this soon and with Eli in his twilight it would make sense to capitalise here. Josh Rosen has all the tools and an aloofness that is reminiscent of Manning.
Dave Gettleman doesn't have a history of trading down, and the #2 pick offers the Giants a broad selection to take Eli's eventual successor. If, the Front Office decide to address the immediate needs instead this would maybe see the Giants select RB Saquon Barkley who I think is the best prospect in the entire class. This would be a team need and a BPA decision. The Giants could also look to grab an edge rusher such as Bradley Chubb to replace traded Jason Pierre Paul or the best O-lineman Quenton Nelson to pair with recently signed ex-Pat Nate Solder. However, it's not often the Giants pick this soon and with Eli in his twilight it would make sense to capitalise here. Josh Rosen has all the tools and an aloofness that is reminiscent of Manning.
Pick Fact : The last time the Giants selected this high in the draft was back in 1984 when they selected Hall-of-Fame linebacker Lawrence Taylor second overall. Not a bad pick. Coincidentally, their last pick in the top 5 was in 2004 when they picked Phillip Rivers by default and engineered the trade for Eli Manning.
3. New York Jets - QB Josh Allen (Wyoming)
The Jets gave up some of the house to get up to #3, so it can really only mean one thing, a new QB in said house. I don't think this QB class has an absolute certainty in it, but one thing I do like is that each rookie QB wouldn't be expected to start day one. There are decent bridge options on each of the Browns, Giants and Jets rosters. It's unfortunate for the Jets they're not going to be able to pick carte blanche. They're likely selecting the third passer in the draft and claiming he was their guy all along.
I'm not sure of the Jets grading but assuming Darnold and Rosen are gone, then it's most likely the strongest armed QB (Allen) that gets picked here although the most confident (Mayfield) may bring some New York swagger. I think I'd personally go for Mayfield but the stronger arm and taller physique probably tend towards the pick being Josh Allen.
I'm not sure of the Jets grading but assuming Darnold and Rosen are gone, then it's most likely the strongest armed QB (Allen) that gets picked here although the most confident (Mayfield) may bring some New York swagger. I think I'd personally go for Mayfield but the stronger arm and taller physique probably tend towards the pick being Josh Allen.
Pick Fact : Should 3 QB's be selected with the first 3 picks it will be a scenario reminiscent of the 2015 draft class where the first 3 picks were all passers (Jameis Winston, Marcus Mariota and Blake Bortles). This is a rare event only occuring previously in 1999 (Tim Couch, Donovan McNabb and Akili Smith) and 1971 (Jim Plunkett, Archie Manning and Dan Pastorini)
4. Cleveland Browns - RB Saquon Barkley (Penn State)
If the draft stacks this way the Browns have got to be delighted. They'll have chosen their QB of the future and effectively own the #2 pick of the draft too from their needs perspective. The options here are plentiful but I'd limit them to two choices, Bradley Chubb or Saquon Barkley.
Bradley Chubb would make a very viable selection on the edge potentially combining with last years overall #1 Myles Garrett to create a formidable tandem. However, I'd personally hand the card in with Saquon Barkley's name in bold if he's still here.
There's a lot of RB depth in this draft and the Browns have signed Carlos Hyde in free agency and Duke Johnson is an ascending star so this pick is by no means a certainty. The trend to value backs lower in the draft these days is accepted, but Barkley could be a transcendental back and provide instant upgrade to the Browns offense. It's a pass led-league but recent top 10 picks Todd Gurley, Ezekiel Elliott and last years #4 pick Leonard Fournette prove there's life in the position still.
Barkley rushed for over 1000 yards in each of his 3 seasons at Penn State, amassing 18 rushing TD's in each of his last 2 seasons. He's also a decent receiver adding 632 receiving yards in his final year with the Nittany Lions, not forgetting 2 kick returns for scores and a passing TD.
Comparisons with Marshall Faulk, LaDainiain Tomlinson and Barry Sanders may flatter Barkley or simply give him a target to aim for. I think he's the safest pick in this years draft.
Bradley Chubb would make a very viable selection on the edge potentially combining with last years overall #1 Myles Garrett to create a formidable tandem. However, I'd personally hand the card in with Saquon Barkley's name in bold if he's still here.
There's a lot of RB depth in this draft and the Browns have signed Carlos Hyde in free agency and Duke Johnson is an ascending star so this pick is by no means a certainty. The trend to value backs lower in the draft these days is accepted, but Barkley could be a transcendental back and provide instant upgrade to the Browns offense. It's a pass led-league but recent top 10 picks Todd Gurley, Ezekiel Elliott and last years #4 pick Leonard Fournette prove there's life in the position still.Barkley rushed for over 1000 yards in each of his 3 seasons at Penn State, amassing 18 rushing TD's in each of his last 2 seasons. He's also a decent receiver adding 632 receiving yards in his final year with the Nittany Lions, not forgetting 2 kick returns for scores and a passing TD.
Comparisons with Marshall Faulk, LaDainiain Tomlinson and Barry Sanders may flatter Barkley or simply give him a target to aim for. I think he's the safest pick in this years draft.
Pick Fact : Buyer beware. The last time the Browns selected a RB this high they were burnt by RB Trent Richardson, picked overall #3 and out of the league within 3 years. Indeed they've only picked a RB 4 times in the 1st round in the last 36 years and none of the players selected reached 3000 career rushing yards (although Eric Metcalf did eventually convert to WR and have over 5000 career receiving yards, but even then only half of these yards were with Cleveland);
5. Denver Broncos - OG Quenton Nelson (Notre Dame)
Don't rule out the Broncos interest in a QB. I'd be intrigued to hear GM John Elway's assessment on Oklahoma's Baker Mayfield and could easily see Denver pull the trigger on a new Quarterback.
However, the biggest glaring need on their offense is an interior lineman and whilst Guard isn't a fashionable pick, Quenton Nelson is a beast and easily the best offensive lineman in this class. A superior run blocker, he could slot into left guard and form a solid left side of the Broncos line for the next decade with Garrett Bolles, last years 1st rounder.
It's not the most fashionable pick but maybe John Elway as a former QB is all too aware of the importance of protection in the pocket.
Pick Fact : In the previous 26 years the Broncos have only selected in the first 10 picks once (Von Miller selected #2 overall in 2011).
However, the biggest glaring need on their offense is an interior lineman and whilst Guard isn't a fashionable pick, Quenton Nelson is a beast and easily the best offensive lineman in this class. A superior run blocker, he could slot into left guard and form a solid left side of the Broncos line for the next decade with Garrett Bolles, last years 1st rounder.
It's not the most fashionable pick but maybe John Elway as a former QB is all too aware of the importance of protection in the pocket.
Pick Fact : In the previous 26 years the Broncos have only selected in the first 10 picks once (Von Miller selected #2 overall in 2011).
6. Indianapolis Colts - DE Bradley Chubb (North Carolina St.)
Despite cap room the Colts fanbase were frustrated at the Front Office inactivity during free agency but the focus is on a rebuild via the draft. The switch of picks with the Jets has given the Colts 4 of the top 50 picks to re-stock the roster.
I think it's a best player available strategy here and Denver's pick at #5 will largely determine the Colts strategy. If Quenton Nelson is available I'd probably offer Andrew Luck an offensive line upgrade but Chubb is likely the best pass rusher in the class and is decent against the run too and to top it all off has experience in coverage also. Having posted two back-to-back 10 sack seasons at NC State he should be ready to start immediately in Indy.
Whilst Tremaine Edmunds or Roquan Smith would be huge upgrades at linebacker, greater value is placed on linemen so it would make immense sense for GM Chris Ballard to make Chubb the first of his 4 picks in the top 50.
Whilst Tremaine Edmunds or Roquan Smith would be huge upgrades at linebacker, greater value is placed on linemen so it would make immense sense for GM Chris Ballard to make Chubb the first of his 4 picks in the top 50.
Pick Fact : The last DE selected out of North Carolina State in the first round was Mario Williams back in 2006 who posted 97.5 career sacks in a career with Houston, Buffalo and Miami. During the 2016 and 2017 seasons Chubb also wore the same #9 jersey that Williams did in his college career.
7. Tampa Bay Buccs - DB Derwin James (Florida State)
253. That's the number of receiving yards Julio Jones torched the Tampa secondary for in week 12 last year. That's got to be on the Front Office minds.The trades for Vinny Curry and Jason Pierre Paul has the Buccs addressing their all too obvious pass rush problem, so maybe Bradley Chubb would be out of play here now regardless. I think a versatile 6'3 defensive back could be just the tonic. Derwin
James can play corner, is probably best suited as a box safety but will provide undoubted leadership, size and athleticism in the secondary. These traits are vitally needed in the NFC South.
Pick Fact : Only one Hall-of-Famer has ever been selected at #7 in the collegiate draft. LB/C Clyde "Bulldog" Turner was selected by the Chicago Bears back in 1940.
8. Chicago Bears - LB Tremaine Edmunds (Virginia Tech)
The Bears have actively pursued skill position talent (Allen Robinson, Taylor Gabriel and Trey Burton) on offense for new HC Matt Nagy and second year QB Mitch Trubisky in free agency.
Now I think it's time to turn to the defense with the intriguing prospect Tremaine Edmunds a hot pick for Chicago. Edmunds has an intriguing size (6'5) and speed mix (4.54 combine 40) and translated this into 215 tackles (32.5 for loss) and 10 sacks in his last 2 seasons in college. The physical tool set and potential is immense with Edmunds, with comparisons to Brian Urlacher already referenced. The downside is that he's not the most instinctive linebacker and his play diagnosis and instincts will need to develop. This could mean the Bears play it safer with Roquan Smith an alternative option but the Bears have not been shy of drafting athletic freaks as recently as Leonard Floyd (#9 in 2016) and Edmunds could offer massive upside - definitely a classic boom-bust pick
9. San Francisco 49ers - LB Roquan Smith (Georgia)
The 49ers are probably looking for help on both sides of the trenches but also conscious of providing Jimmy Garropolo with a #1 receiver to go alongside his new 5-yr $137.5m contract.
I originally marked Alabama's Calvin Ridley as the likely receiving option but then the 49ers 2017 1st round pick LB Reuben Foster gets indicted on 3 felony charges including a domestic violence charge which has left GM John Lynch stating that if the charge is proven Foster will no longer be part of the organisation.
With this in mind I've amended my mock to send out a clear message to Foster.
Georgia's Roquan Smith is a prototypical modern linebacker. The pro comparison with the Falcons Deion Jones is a fair one, a little undersized with great speed, superior play diagnosis and explosive athleticism. Smith was a high school WR and exhibits that knowledge when in pass coverage, easily able to match even the most athletic RB's and he's not afraid to bring it in the run game either.
8. Chicago Bears - LB Tremaine Edmunds (Virginia Tech)
The Bears have actively pursued skill position talent (Allen Robinson, Taylor Gabriel and Trey Burton) on offense for new HC Matt Nagy and second year QB Mitch Trubisky in free agency.Now I think it's time to turn to the defense with the intriguing prospect Tremaine Edmunds a hot pick for Chicago. Edmunds has an intriguing size (6'5) and speed mix (4.54 combine 40) and translated this into 215 tackles (32.5 for loss) and 10 sacks in his last 2 seasons in college. The physical tool set and potential is immense with Edmunds, with comparisons to Brian Urlacher already referenced. The downside is that he's not the most instinctive linebacker and his play diagnosis and instincts will need to develop. This could mean the Bears play it safer with Roquan Smith an alternative option but the Bears have not been shy of drafting athletic freaks as recently as Leonard Floyd (#9 in 2016) and Edmunds could offer massive upside - definitely a classic boom-bust pick
Pick Fact : Tremaine Edmunds is the son of two-time Pro Bowl TE and former Miami Dolphins / Seattle Seahawk Ferrell Edmunds.
9. San Francisco 49ers - LB Roquan Smith (Georgia)
The 49ers are probably looking for help on both sides of the trenches but also conscious of providing Jimmy Garropolo with a #1 receiver to go alongside his new 5-yr $137.5m contract.
I originally marked Alabama's Calvin Ridley as the likely receiving option but then the 49ers 2017 1st round pick LB Reuben Foster gets indicted on 3 felony charges including a domestic violence charge which has left GM John Lynch stating that if the charge is proven Foster will no longer be part of the organisation.
Georgia's Roquan Smith is a prototypical modern linebacker. The pro comparison with the Falcons Deion Jones is a fair one, a little undersized with great speed, superior play diagnosis and explosive athleticism. Smith was a high school WR and exhibits that knowledge when in pass coverage, easily able to match even the most athletic RB's and he's not afraid to bring it in the run game either.
Pick Fact : Should the 49ers actually select a WR in the first round they'll be hoping for more than the one season they got out of their 2012 pick A.J Jenkins. After a catchless rookie year he was traded to the Chiefs and after 17 catches in the next 2 seasons was out of football.
10. Oakland Raiders - DB Minkah Fitzpatrick (Alabama)
This is Jon Gruden's first draft pick in a long, long time so all eyes on Chucky here at #10. Nearly every mock draft I see has the Raiders taking Roquan Smith and not without good reason. However, I have the 49ers jumping the Raiders for Smith, so their focus can shift to their secondary which is in dire need of playmakers.
My mock still has the best coverage defensive backs on the board. I could see the Raiders looking at Minkah Fitzpatrick, Denzel Ward or Josh Jackson as alternatives to Smith. Similarly, outside of Khalil Mack there isn't much of a pass rush to write home about so we could also see an edge guy get the nod but beyond Bradley Chubb I'm unsure if any other edge guy will go in the top 20 this year.
I've seen Minkah Fitzpatrick linked as high as #4 to the Browns and he's been compared with Jamal Adams who went #6 to the 49ers last year. Fitzpatrick played as a freshman for Alabama and not many do that in the Tide's strong football programme. He has proven he can excel in man or zone coverage and has shown effectiveness as a blitzer and brings great ball skills (also returning 4 of his 9 college interceptions for TD's). He's perhaps more likely to play safety in the NFL but could easily flex to corner. Some scouts think he could be better than Jalen Ramsey who went #5 in 2016.
This is both a need and value pick for the Raiders and makes a lot of sense here at #10
10. Oakland Raiders - DB Minkah Fitzpatrick (Alabama)
This is Jon Gruden's first draft pick in a long, long time so all eyes on Chucky here at #10. Nearly every mock draft I see has the Raiders taking Roquan Smith and not without good reason. However, I have the 49ers jumping the Raiders for Smith, so their focus can shift to their secondary which is in dire need of playmakers.
My mock still has the best coverage defensive backs on the board. I could see the Raiders looking at Minkah Fitzpatrick, Denzel Ward or Josh Jackson as alternatives to Smith. Similarly, outside of Khalil Mack there isn't much of a pass rush to write home about so we could also see an edge guy get the nod but beyond Bradley Chubb I'm unsure if any other edge guy will go in the top 20 this year.
I've seen Minkah Fitzpatrick linked as high as #4 to the Browns and he's been compared with Jamal Adams who went #6 to the 49ers last year. Fitzpatrick played as a freshman for Alabama and not many do that in the Tide's strong football programme. He has proven he can excel in man or zone coverage and has shown effectiveness as a blitzer and brings great ball skills (also returning 4 of his 9 college interceptions for TD's). He's perhaps more likely to play safety in the NFL but could easily flex to corner. Some scouts think he could be better than Jalen Ramsey who went #5 in 2016.This is both a need and value pick for the Raiders and makes a lot of sense here at #10
Pick Fact : The Oakland Raiders have only selected 10th overall on one other occasion than 2018. It wasn't a bad selection either. The running back selected out of USC back in 1982 went on to become the only player to have won a Heisman Trophy, the NCAA Championship, the Super Bowl, Super Bowl MVP and NFL MVP. Marcus Allen was also inducted into the College Football Hall of Fame in 1999 and the Pro Football Hall of Fame in 2003
11. Miami Dolphins - DT Vita Vea (Washington)
A popular move for the fanbase would be for the Dolphins to recruit Oklahoma QB Baker Mayfield if he should remain on the board past the Denver Broncos at #5. Ryan Tannehill is only 29 but coming off a surgically repaired ACL with not too much quality behind him holding a clipboard. I do like Mayfield but I'm not sure Adam Gase is ready to give up on Tannehill yet and think that the Dolphins may seek QB insurance lower down the draft.
There is also the calling for an impact player now to replace the departed Ndamukong Suh on the interior of the defensive line. The top interior linemen all remain on the board at this point so the Dolphins would have the pick of DaRon Payne, Vita Vea or Taven Bryan as most likely 1st rounder candidates to step into the rather large shoes of Suh. Vea nearly entered the draft last year but remained in college and saw his sack total dip slightly from 5 to 3.5. His ability as a big strong run defender won't be ignored but if picked at #11 the success of his selection will be dependent on Vea being more than just that big 340 pound run defender.
12. Buffalo Bills - QB Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma)
Is A.J McCarron the answer for the Bills? I assume they will double-down on another passer in the draft, the question is just how soon? A candidate to trade up for a QB, the Bills could just as easily move down from this spot to secure OL or WR help.
With my mock unable to project any movement I'm stuck at #12 so assume the Bills going QB (Baker Mayfield or Lamar Jackson) or looking for O-line help (Mike McGlinchey, Isaiah Wynn, Will Hernandez) or possibly even wide receiver with Calvin Ridley still on the board.
I think the Bills are going to be forced down the QB route here and it will be interesting to see how they go. I think I'm going to discount Lamar Jackson from the conversation on the basis of the Bills appearing to be more interested in a pocket passer than the ultra mobile Louisville QB.
Alongside Jackson, Baker Mayfield probably polarises opinion on his pro potential more than anyone else in this class. The first ever walk-on to win the Heisman Trophy, he improved his yardage and touchdown totals each year posting 4,267 yards 43 TD's and only 6 interceptions in his senior season.
He's an on-field leader with confidence that can border on cockiness which will need to be reigned in. Experts will point to his lack of ideal height and his stats padded via Oklahoma's spread offense, but he has a better arm than he's given credit for and his accuracy is reflected in a completion percentage in excess of 70% in his last two seasons in Oklahoma. His success could be dependent on scheme fit and coincidentally his pro comparison with a similarly vertically challenged passer Doug Flutie who happened to spend 3 years in Buffalo seems quite fitting.
Mayfield is one of the guys who absolutely fascinates me in this draft class. The Bills could have their QB and leader for the next decade or just the next undersized passer to struggle in the pros.
11. Miami Dolphins - DT Vita Vea (Washington)
A popular move for the fanbase would be for the Dolphins to recruit Oklahoma QB Baker Mayfield if he should remain on the board past the Denver Broncos at #5. Ryan Tannehill is only 29 but coming off a surgically repaired ACL with not too much quality behind him holding a clipboard. I do like Mayfield but I'm not sure Adam Gase is ready to give up on Tannehill yet and think that the Dolphins may seek QB insurance lower down the draft.
There is also the calling for an impact player now to replace the departed Ndamukong Suh on the interior of the defensive line. The top interior linemen all remain on the board at this point so the Dolphins would have the pick of DaRon Payne, Vita Vea or Taven Bryan as most likely 1st rounder candidates to step into the rather large shoes of Suh. Vea nearly entered the draft last year but remained in college and saw his sack total dip slightly from 5 to 3.5. His ability as a big strong run defender won't be ignored but if picked at #11 the success of his selection will be dependent on Vea being more than just that big 340 pound run defender.
Pick Fact : Vea rushed for 587 yards and 11 TD's as a high school running back.
12. Buffalo Bills - QB Baker Mayfield (Oklahoma)
Is A.J McCarron the answer for the Bills? I assume they will double-down on another passer in the draft, the question is just how soon? A candidate to trade up for a QB, the Bills could just as easily move down from this spot to secure OL or WR help.
With my mock unable to project any movement I'm stuck at #12 so assume the Bills going QB (Baker Mayfield or Lamar Jackson) or looking for O-line help (Mike McGlinchey, Isaiah Wynn, Will Hernandez) or possibly even wide receiver with Calvin Ridley still on the board.
I think the Bills are going to be forced down the QB route here and it will be interesting to see how they go. I think I'm going to discount Lamar Jackson from the conversation on the basis of the Bills appearing to be more interested in a pocket passer than the ultra mobile Louisville QB.
Alongside Jackson, Baker Mayfield probably polarises opinion on his pro potential more than anyone else in this class. The first ever walk-on to win the Heisman Trophy, he improved his yardage and touchdown totals each year posting 4,267 yards 43 TD's and only 6 interceptions in his senior season.He's an on-field leader with confidence that can border on cockiness which will need to be reigned in. Experts will point to his lack of ideal height and his stats padded via Oklahoma's spread offense, but he has a better arm than he's given credit for and his accuracy is reflected in a completion percentage in excess of 70% in his last two seasons in Oklahoma. His success could be dependent on scheme fit and coincidentally his pro comparison with a similarly vertically challenged passer Doug Flutie who happened to spend 3 years in Buffalo seems quite fitting.
Mayfield is one of the guys who absolutely fascinates me in this draft class. The Bills could have their QB and leader for the next decade or just the next undersized passer to struggle in the pros.
Pick Fact : When the Bills selected QB Joe Ferguson in 1973 (#57 overall) he started all 14 games posting 73 completions, an average of just over 5 per game. The 1973 season was the year O.J Simpson rumbled for 2,003 rushing yards, a then NFL record.
13. Washington Redskins - CB Denzel Ward (Ohio State)
I envisage the Skins focusing on defense in the early rounds of this years draft but do imagine the potential for a QB to be picked in the middle rounds - Kyle Lauletta anyone?
The Skins need a premier defender, be it a playmaking linebacker, help in the trenches or in the secondary. I think they'll take a BPA option and bearing in mind the departures of Kendall Fuller and Bashaud Breeland, it certainly wouldn't harm them to take a cornerback here at #13. Ward isn't the biggest physically at 5'10 and 185, but his superior footwork, athletic ability and overall speed make him arguably the top cover corner in the draft class. Due to his size he may be ideally suited to the slot and will potentially start his career as the nickel corner but don't be surprised to see him follow in the footsteps of two Ohio State alumni corners Marshon Lattimore and Gareon Conley, selected #11 and #24 respectively last year.
14. Green Bay Packers - CB Josh Jackson (Iowa)
The Packers will likely have one eye on WR in the draft following the release of Jordy Nelson and a Randall Cobb contract which simply overpays based on his output. However, I feel there's enough value outside of the 1st round for the Pack to address this area and that they'll focus on improving their pass rush or pass defense early.
I've Harold Landry and Marcus Davenport as potential candidates as edge rushers but have opted for the equally obvious need at corner, where the Packers signed 35-yr old Tramon Williams as a stop-gap to pair with 2017 2nd rounder Kevin King and have the inconsistent Quentin Rollins as their nickel. Josh Jackson stands out after an amazing final year at Iowa culminating in 8 interceptions and 27 passes defensed. Some scouts have Jackson ranked as the best corner in the draft whereas others raise concern that he was only a one year starter for Iowa.
13. Washington Redskins - CB Denzel Ward (Ohio State)
I envisage the Skins focusing on defense in the early rounds of this years draft but do imagine the potential for a QB to be picked in the middle rounds - Kyle Lauletta anyone?
The Skins need a premier defender, be it a playmaking linebacker, help in the trenches or in the secondary. I think they'll take a BPA option and bearing in mind the departures of Kendall Fuller and Bashaud Breeland, it certainly wouldn't harm them to take a cornerback here at #13. Ward isn't the biggest physically at 5'10 and 185, but his superior footwork, athletic ability and overall speed make him arguably the top cover corner in the draft class. Due to his size he may be ideally suited to the slot and will potentially start his career as the nickel corner but don't be surprised to see him follow in the footsteps of two Ohio State alumni corners Marshon Lattimore and Gareon Conley, selected #11 and #24 respectively last year.
Pick Fact : Did you know that the Washington Redskins were the first team to ever draft a full-time kicker as a first round selection? The precedent was set by Charlie Gogolak, selected 6th overall out of Princeton in 1966 and only repeated twice since by Steve Little (#15 overall in 1978 by the St Louis Cardinals) and Sebastian Janikowski (#17 by the Oakland Raiders in 2000). Gogolak only lasted 3 years in Washington and 6 years in the league but part owns the record for most extra points converted in a single game by both teams. The other kicker? His brother Pete for the Giants.
14. Green Bay Packers - CB Josh Jackson (Iowa)
I've Harold Landry and Marcus Davenport as potential candidates as edge rushers but have opted for the equally obvious need at corner, where the Packers signed 35-yr old Tramon Williams as a stop-gap to pair with 2017 2nd rounder Kevin King and have the inconsistent Quentin Rollins as their nickel. Josh Jackson stands out after an amazing final year at Iowa culminating in 8 interceptions and 27 passes defensed. Some scouts have Jackson ranked as the best corner in the draft whereas others raise concern that he was only a one year starter for Iowa.
Pick Fact : The Packers have not drafted a skill player on offense in the first round since Aaron Rodgers in 2006. In the 11 years since, 9 selections have been defensive players with the only exceptions two offensive tackles in consecutive years in 2010 and 2011 (Bryan Bulaga and Derek Sherrod)
15. Arizona Cardinals - QB Lamar Jackson (Louisville)
I've swayed numerous times here between offensive tackle and quarterback, both as positions of need. I'm struggling to get past the number of times Sam Bradford has hit IR and my thinking is clouded with reports from his ex-HC Mike Zimmer on his degenerative knee condition. Despite Bradford being only 30 the injury toll probably means his signing is a shortish term manoeuvre. Mike Glennon was about to be the future of the Bears until the 2017 draft so maybe the Cards have a good fall back position or maybe Glennon really is a career backup.
With 4 QB's already off the board I think the Cardinals will react to the rush and look to Jackson even though there's plenty of logic in going lineman too. Jackson is raw as a passer but a dynamic athlete who has drawn some Mike Vick comparisons.
Jackson might not be the greatest passer at the moment and will miss occasionally on easy throws, but he brings a dynamism and level of excitement that's rarely seen at the QB position. The Heisman Trophy winner in 2016 put up similar numbers again in 2017, which you can either look at as a concern that his passing numbers didn't improve or as a plus that he maintained his level despite a changing cast around him. Jackson passed for 57 TD's over his last 2 college seasons whilst also rushing for over 3,000 yards. His draft grade will vary massively between teams but the potential to be a difference maker could be huge.
Patience, the right system and remaining injury free will be critical to Jackson's success in the NFL. It almost seems a shame that it won't be the recently retired Bruce Arians with the job of developing an offense around Jackson whilst also helping refine his skills and decision making.
Pick Fact : If the Cardinals take Lamar Jackson or indeed any other QB in the first round, he will become only the second QB selected by the Cardinals in the 1st round since their move to Arizona. Within two years of their previous QB selection the Cardinals were in the Super Bowl. However, it wasn't with Matt Leinart as starter, he was already on the downside of his NFL career, backing up a resurgent Kurt Warner.
16. Baltimore Ravens - WR Calvin Ridley (Alabama)
OK so I went with the fairytale first with Ravens GM Ozzie Newsome having pressing needs on the O-line following the departures of starting RT Austin Howard and C Ryan Jensen whilst the son of Newsome's late former team-mate Orlando Brown and namesake just happens to be available this year. Brown is a massive tackle at 6'8 and 345lbs and whilst his footwork won't win dancing competitions - to be honest it can be downright ugly at times - he's a large area to get around in pass protection and possesses extremely long arms and a strong punch. However a pretty terrible combine performance probably pushes Brown at least into Day Two.
Whilst there's a need on the O-line, and one that needs addressing, the Ravens also are short at WR. They're possibly acquiring Willie Snead pre-draft who has signed an offer sheet that New Orleans are unlikely to match, but this still only leaves him, 31-yr old Michael Crabtree on a 1-yr deal, John Brown and not much else behind them.
Enter Calvin Ridley who is possibly the drafts best WR, if not he's certainly the most polished. It's not a pass heavy offense at Alabama but Ridley still posted nearly 3,000 receiving yards during his 3-yr tenure. He'll likely follow in the footsteps of fellow Crimson Tide receivers Amari Cooper (#4 in 2015) and Julio Jones (#6 in 2011) as a first round pick and I have him as the first receiver off the board at #16. The knock on Ridley is that he's a little slight at 6'3 and 189lbs with a frame which is unlikely to add too much bulk. I still feel he's the best receiver on the board and better than what the Ravens currently have at their disposal.
Knowing HC Anthony Lynn covets mobile passers I wonder if the Chargers would be in the market for a QB if Lamar Jackson was still on the board. That said, Philip Rivers shows little sign of slowing down.
The immediate needs for the roster would be an urgent upgrade in their run defense which is one of the weakest in the NFL and possibly improvements at Center or Right Tackle on the O-line with Billy Price or Mike McGlinchey respective options. I originally projected Rashaan Evans as a middle linebacker to help the run defense but am toying with this weakness being addressed up-front instead by a run-stuffing defensive lineman here, especially with Da'Ron Payne still on the board.
However, the Chargers best linebacker Denzel Perryman struggles to stay fit and the rest of the group is middling at best. Rashaan Evans is instinctive, well coached and plays the run and pass with equal effectiveness. He has the versatility to be an every down linebacker and having played defensive end in high school those pass rush skills are visible in his game (recorded 15 sacks during his college career). He's arguably better suited to a 3-4 system so the Chargers could instead flip to Payne but I'll stick with Evans here.
15. Arizona Cardinals - QB Lamar Jackson (Louisville)
I've swayed numerous times here between offensive tackle and quarterback, both as positions of need. I'm struggling to get past the number of times Sam Bradford has hit IR and my thinking is clouded with reports from his ex-HC Mike Zimmer on his degenerative knee condition. Despite Bradford being only 30 the injury toll probably means his signing is a shortish term manoeuvre. Mike Glennon was about to be the future of the Bears until the 2017 draft so maybe the Cards have a good fall back position or maybe Glennon really is a career backup.
With 4 QB's already off the board I think the Cardinals will react to the rush and look to Jackson even though there's plenty of logic in going lineman too. Jackson is raw as a passer but a dynamic athlete who has drawn some Mike Vick comparisons.
Jackson might not be the greatest passer at the moment and will miss occasionally on easy throws, but he brings a dynamism and level of excitement that's rarely seen at the QB position. The Heisman Trophy winner in 2016 put up similar numbers again in 2017, which you can either look at as a concern that his passing numbers didn't improve or as a plus that he maintained his level despite a changing cast around him. Jackson passed for 57 TD's over his last 2 college seasons whilst also rushing for over 3,000 yards. His draft grade will vary massively between teams but the potential to be a difference maker could be huge.Patience, the right system and remaining injury free will be critical to Jackson's success in the NFL. It almost seems a shame that it won't be the recently retired Bruce Arians with the job of developing an offense around Jackson whilst also helping refine his skills and decision making.
Pick Fact : If the Cardinals take Lamar Jackson or indeed any other QB in the first round, he will become only the second QB selected by the Cardinals in the 1st round since their move to Arizona. Within two years of their previous QB selection the Cardinals were in the Super Bowl. However, it wasn't with Matt Leinart as starter, he was already on the downside of his NFL career, backing up a resurgent Kurt Warner.
16. Baltimore Ravens - WR Calvin Ridley (Alabama)
Enter Calvin Ridley who is possibly the drafts best WR, if not he's certainly the most polished. It's not a pass heavy offense at Alabama but Ridley still posted nearly 3,000 receiving yards during his 3-yr tenure. He'll likely follow in the footsteps of fellow Crimson Tide receivers Amari Cooper (#4 in 2015) and Julio Jones (#6 in 2011) as a first round pick and I have him as the first receiver off the board at #16. The knock on Ridley is that he's a little slight at 6'3 and 189lbs with a frame which is unlikely to add too much bulk. I still feel he's the best receiver on the board and better than what the Ravens currently have at their disposal.
Pick Fact : The Baltimore Ravens first two draft picks in franchise history are both in the Pro Football Hall-of-Fame. Ozzie Newsome, who retires after this season, selected Jonathan Ogden at #4 and followed this up with Ray Lewis at #26
17. Los Angeles Chargers - LB Rashaan Evans (Alabama)
17. Los Angeles Chargers - LB Rashaan Evans (Alabama)
Knowing HC Anthony Lynn covets mobile passers I wonder if the Chargers would be in the market for a QB if Lamar Jackson was still on the board. That said, Philip Rivers shows little sign of slowing down.
The immediate needs for the roster would be an urgent upgrade in their run defense which is one of the weakest in the NFL and possibly improvements at Center or Right Tackle on the O-line with Billy Price or Mike McGlinchey respective options. I originally projected Rashaan Evans as a middle linebacker to help the run defense but am toying with this weakness being addressed up-front instead by a run-stuffing defensive lineman here, especially with Da'Ron Payne still on the board.However, the Chargers best linebacker Denzel Perryman struggles to stay fit and the rest of the group is middling at best. Rashaan Evans is instinctive, well coached and plays the run and pass with equal effectiveness. He has the versatility to be an every down linebacker and having played defensive end in high school those pass rush skills are visible in his game (recorded 15 sacks during his college career). He's arguably better suited to a 3-4 system so the Chargers could instead flip to Payne but I'll stick with Evans here.
Pick Fact : It's 20 years since the then San Diego Chargers picked one of the greatest draft busts of all-time. The Chargers gave up two first round picks, a second round pick, LB Patrick Sapp and Pro Bowler Eric Metcalf to move up to #2 overall to select QB Ryan Leaf who at the time signed the biggest ever rookie contract. Leaf was out of San Diego within 3 years and pretty much out of football a year later after two trades to Tampa and onto Dallas. Leaf's NFL career consisted of only 3,666 passing yards, 14 TD's and 36 interceptions.
18. Seattle Seahawks - DT Da'Ron Payne (Alabama)
Due to various trades the Seahawks don't pick again until #120 in the 4th round so they're prime candidates for a trade down to gather further picks. There's plenty of areas to address too with the Seahawks clearing out many of the high earners.
Assuming they're picking here at #18 top of the wish-list is surely help in the trenches on both sides of the ball. Whilst I think John Schneider will aggressively attempt to find a trade partner unless a top target is here, I have a no trade rule in my mock, so I'm going to select the lineman that's drawn comparisons to former Seahawk legend Cortez Kennedy.
Da'Ron Payne is probably the best run plugger in the draft and if he gets past the Chargers he could be in play here.
Due to various trades the Seahawks don't pick again until #120 in the 4th round so they're prime candidates for a trade down to gather further picks. There's plenty of areas to address too with the Seahawks clearing out many of the high earners.
Da'Ron Payne is probably the best run plugger in the draft and if he gets past the Chargers he could be in play here.
Pick Fact : If Da'Ron Payne gets selected in the first 32 picks, he'll be only the third Crimson Tide DT to be drafted in the first round, following in the footsteps of Mike Pitts (to Atlanta at #16 in 1983) and Marcell Dareus (to Buffalo at #3 in 2011)
19. Dallas Cowboys - LB Leighton Vander Esch (Boise State)
There's a few specific needs here - WR a definite need even before the release of Dez Bryant, a successor to Jason Witten which seems to be a perennial statement but also a testament to his longevity, and finally strengthening of the defensive line, but the Cowboys seem heavily interested in Boise State standout LB Leighton Vander Esch.
LVE is athletic but it's his play instincts that really standout. With 141 tackles in 14 games in 2017 he was always around the ball, demonstrating great play diagnosis as well as his athleticism.
The pick would make some sense as the Cowboys defense was noticeably worse once Sean Lee went down with injury (went from 18 points/game to 32 points/game surrendered) and in all of Lee's 7 yrs with the Cowboys he's yet to complete all 16 games in a single season. With Jaylon Smith continuing to bounceback, Vander Esch would add to the linebacker group and provide a succession plan as the on-field defensive QB.
There's a few specific needs here - WR a definite need even before the release of Dez Bryant, a successor to Jason Witten which seems to be a perennial statement but also a testament to his longevity, and finally strengthening of the defensive line, but the Cowboys seem heavily interested in Boise State standout LB Leighton Vander Esch.LVE is athletic but it's his play instincts that really standout. With 141 tackles in 14 games in 2017 he was always around the ball, demonstrating great play diagnosis as well as his athleticism.
The pick would make some sense as the Cowboys defense was noticeably worse once Sean Lee went down with injury (went from 18 points/game to 32 points/game surrendered) and in all of Lee's 7 yrs with the Cowboys he's yet to complete all 16 games in a single season. With Jaylon Smith continuing to bounceback, Vander Esch would add to the linebacker group and provide a succession plan as the on-field defensive QB.
Pick Fact : The 2018 NFL Draft marks the first time the event will be held within an NFL Stadium. Barring any trades this pick here will therefore be the first time a team has selected a player in the first round from within their own turf.
20. Detroit Lions - DT Taven Bryan (Florida)
The Lions pass rush was ranked 20th in the league in terms of sacks in 2017 and a primary focus of the draft will probably be to address this with multiple picks. If they're looking for an edge rusher they could consider Harold Landry or Marcus Davenport as both remain on my draft board. Both prospects are raw but Davenport could make some sense following the Lions hiring his college position coach this off season.
If the Lions consider the interior, then Taven Bryan would be a viable option. Bryan left Florida a year early and is also another developmental prospect but with outstanding athletic ability. Bryan could potentially play inside and at end and this versatility, combined with the departure of Haloti Ngata edges me more towards the former Gator.
Expect later round picks to also address the RB and TE positions, but I think it would be a little early here.
20. Detroit Lions - DT Taven Bryan (Florida)
The Lions pass rush was ranked 20th in the league in terms of sacks in 2017 and a primary focus of the draft will probably be to address this with multiple picks. If they're looking for an edge rusher they could consider Harold Landry or Marcus Davenport as both remain on my draft board. Both prospects are raw but Davenport could make some sense following the Lions hiring his college position coach this off season.
Expect later round picks to also address the RB and TE positions, but I think it would be a little early here.
Pick Fact : It is 20 years since the Lions spent a first round pick on a defensive back (Terry Fair #20 overall in 1998) which is the longest current period of any NFL team.
21. Cincinnati Bengals - OT Mike McGlinchey (Notre Dame)
There are plenty of positions to fill on this Bengals roster. Hey I wouldn't entirely rule out a successor to the Ginger Prince if any of the top 5 QB's fall. However, I think the more likely of picks are to strengthen the O-line or D-line which brings in a number of candidates such as OT Connor Williams or DT Maurice Hurst or edge rusher Marcus Davenport.
However, the Bengals allowed Kevin Zeitler and Andrew Whitworth to depart via free agency and the offense suffered as a result. Andy Dalton was sacked 39 times and the run game inconsistent.
The Bengals have sought to address the line via a trade for Buffalo's Cordy Glenn but I still think they'll seek further help via the draft. On this basis I'm going to go with the Bengals selecting Quenton Nelson's left hand man Mike McGlinchey to re-enforce the Bengals o-line. McGlinchey is a 3-yr starter at Notre Dame with experience at both tackle positions. Whilst McGlinchey is seen as a left tackle he may be ideally suited on the opposite side which would be an immediate fit in Cincinnati.
21. Cincinnati Bengals - OT Mike McGlinchey (Notre Dame)
There are plenty of positions to fill on this Bengals roster. Hey I wouldn't entirely rule out a successor to the Ginger Prince if any of the top 5 QB's fall. However, I think the more likely of picks are to strengthen the O-line or D-line which brings in a number of candidates such as OT Connor Williams or DT Maurice Hurst or edge rusher Marcus Davenport.
However, the Bengals allowed Kevin Zeitler and Andrew Whitworth to depart via free agency and the offense suffered as a result. Andy Dalton was sacked 39 times and the run game inconsistent.The Bengals have sought to address the line via a trade for Buffalo's Cordy Glenn but I still think they'll seek further help via the draft. On this basis I'm going to go with the Bengals selecting Quenton Nelson's left hand man Mike McGlinchey to re-enforce the Bengals o-line. McGlinchey is a 3-yr starter at Notre Dame with experience at both tackle positions. Whilst McGlinchey is seen as a left tackle he may be ideally suited on the opposite side which would be an immediate fit in Cincinnati.
Pick Fact : Mike McGlinchey is the cousin of Atlanta Falcons QB Matt Ryan
22. Buffalo Bills - OL Isaiah Wynn (Georgia)
With Buffalo earlier drafting their QB of the future in this mock, they can begin to fill their positions of need right now. There's a call for linebacker help but with the Bills trading LT Cordy Glenn and both C Eric Wood and LG Richie Incognito retiring there is a strong need for further re-enforcements.
Georgia's Isaiah Wynn has experience at left tackle and at Guard. Despite Wynn's light feet, at 6'3 and shortish arm length he's more likely suited to Guard in the pro's but his versatility and college experience make him an immediate plug and play starter.
With LeSean McCoy the focal point of the offense there's a possibility the Bills could consider UTEP's Will Hernandez as an alternative pick at the position whose a superior run blocker but I think Wynn is more technically sound NFL ready and the Bills need immediate contributors.
22. Buffalo Bills - OL Isaiah Wynn (Georgia)
With Buffalo earlier drafting their QB of the future in this mock, they can begin to fill their positions of need right now. There's a call for linebacker help but with the Bills trading LT Cordy Glenn and both C Eric Wood and LG Richie Incognito retiring there is a strong need for further re-enforcements.
Georgia's Isaiah Wynn has experience at left tackle and at Guard. Despite Wynn's light feet, at 6'3 and shortish arm length he's more likely suited to Guard in the pro's but his versatility and college experience make him an immediate plug and play starter. With LeSean McCoy the focal point of the offense there's a possibility the Bills could consider UTEP's Will Hernandez as an alternative pick at the position whose a superior run blocker but I think Wynn is more technically sound NFL ready and the Bills need immediate contributors.
Pick Fact : Should the Bills retain both their first round picks, this will be the fourth occasion in the last 15 years where Buffalo have doubled up on picks in the first round
23. New England Patriots - OT Connor Williams (Texas)
The Patriots trade of Brandin Cooks has some wondering if Bill Belichick is planning to engineer a significant move up the draft to acquire a specific target. I've even heard rumours of capital to trade for OBJ. Both options seem against the grain to me but I don't rule anything out from the master himself.
I think the most pressing needs are on the front seven of the defense and finding a replacement for Nate Solder who joined the Giants via free agency.
The Patriots efforts at drafting an insurance policy for Solder in the 2017 draft back-fired with Conor McDermott (Rd6) released and Antonio Garcia (Rd4) spending the year out with a non-football related condition. I think they'll have to re-address the position earlier in this draft. Connor Williams is ranked by some as the best tackle available this year, so if the Patriots have him ranked similarly they could pounce here. There's also some mentions of their interest in UCLA's 6'9 tackle Kolton Miller as potential alternative to Williams.
23. New England Patriots - OT Connor Williams (Texas)
The Patriots trade of Brandin Cooks has some wondering if Bill Belichick is planning to engineer a significant move up the draft to acquire a specific target. I've even heard rumours of capital to trade for OBJ. Both options seem against the grain to me but I don't rule anything out from the master himself.
I think the most pressing needs are on the front seven of the defense and finding a replacement for Nate Solder who joined the Giants via free agency.The Patriots efforts at drafting an insurance policy for Solder in the 2017 draft back-fired with Conor McDermott (Rd6) released and Antonio Garcia (Rd4) spending the year out with a non-football related condition. I think they'll have to re-address the position earlier in this draft. Connor Williams is ranked by some as the best tackle available this year, so if the Patriots have him ranked similarly they could pounce here. There's also some mentions of their interest in UCLA's 6'9 tackle Kolton Miller as potential alternative to Williams.
Pick Fact : They say Belichick never drafts o-linemen in the first round. Well he did in 2011 when he selected Nate Solder #17 overall. That pick also happened to be the only 1st round pick spent on an offensive player by the Patriots since 2006 (RB Laurence Maloney at #21)
24. Carolina Panthers - CB Isaiah Oliver (Colorado)
My initial thoughts here were for the Panthers to address their dire need for WR help, especially a true #1 receiver. I thought candidates such as D.J Moore could add explosion or Courtland Sutton as a typical rangy type that has previously been drafted to compensate for Cam Newton's liberal passing. I also considered an attempt to plug their biggest free agency loss, the outstanding Guard Andrew Norwell. However, in both instances I feel that there is really good value later in the draft and thoroughly expect Carolina to expend picks at these positions, probably in rounds 2 and 3.
With Daryl Worley traded to the Eagles and his targeted free agency replacement Bashaud Breeland failing a medical I'm instead switching attention to a host of possible cornerbacks to fill another need position. The previous Dave Gettleman regime didn't value defensive backs that highly but in the NFC South it's important to be able to mirror the likes of Julio Jones, Mike Evans and Michael Thomas, all of whom come in at over 6'3.
There's a number of guys who could be up for consideration such as Mike Hughes, Jaire Alexander and Carlton Davis but I'm going to go for the bigger guy of the remaining bunch and see the Panthers select Colorado's Isaiah Oliver. The downside may be that Oliver might not be an immediate plug-in starter but has the athleticism, size, speed and length that is coveted in the modern cornerback and the potential to become a bump-and-run type blanket cover guy that becomes worth his weight in gold in a pass-heavy division.
25. Tennessee Titans - EDGE Harold Landry (Boston College)
The Titans are another team in need of WR help but I'm just not feeling it in the first round this year. They also need pass rush help. Jurrell Casey is a keeper at defensive end but Brian Orakpo and Derrick Morgan are not getting any younger on the edge and 2016 second rounder Kevin Dodd approaches bust status and would seem a much better fit in a conventional 4-3.
I have the Titans taking the raw prospect Harold Landry who has drawn some comparisons with Vic Beasley in terms of his burst around the edge. Landry may find himself suffering in similar vein to Beasley in terms of his best use either as a stand up rusher or his hand in the ground but as his 16.5 sacks at BC in 2016 hint at, he has high end potential if he can bring it all together in the pro's.
30. Minnesota Vikings - CB Mike Hughes (Central Florida)
This is a strong roster but the Vikes have a couple of potential issues to address. My initial feel here was for the Vikes to focus on the corner position where Central Florida's Mike Hughes may be an ideal fit. He is ideally suited as a slot corner and should straight away step into the role that Mackensie Alexander has struggled to fill since he was drafted 2nd round in 2016.
This would give Minnesota even more frightening secondary depth to an all star cast that already includes Xavier Rhodes, Trae Waynes and Harrison Smith.
However, I'm being swayed from this pick (I think) and towards O-line help following the retirement of RG Joe Berger. The Vikes may switch Mike Remmers to guard or address via the draft. Either way, it's possible they could have an o-lineman still on the board with a first round grade, possibly James Daniels who has experience at both guard and center who would make a viable alternative.
24. Carolina Panthers - CB Isaiah Oliver (Colorado)
My initial thoughts here were for the Panthers to address their dire need for WR help, especially a true #1 receiver. I thought candidates such as D.J Moore could add explosion or Courtland Sutton as a typical rangy type that has previously been drafted to compensate for Cam Newton's liberal passing. I also considered an attempt to plug their biggest free agency loss, the outstanding Guard Andrew Norwell. However, in both instances I feel that there is really good value later in the draft and thoroughly expect Carolina to expend picks at these positions, probably in rounds 2 and 3.
With Daryl Worley traded to the Eagles and his targeted free agency replacement Bashaud Breeland failing a medical I'm instead switching attention to a host of possible cornerbacks to fill another need position. The previous Dave Gettleman regime didn't value defensive backs that highly but in the NFC South it's important to be able to mirror the likes of Julio Jones, Mike Evans and Michael Thomas, all of whom come in at over 6'3.There's a number of guys who could be up for consideration such as Mike Hughes, Jaire Alexander and Carlton Davis but I'm going to go for the bigger guy of the remaining bunch and see the Panthers select Colorado's Isaiah Oliver. The downside may be that Oliver might not be an immediate plug-in starter but has the athleticism, size, speed and length that is coveted in the modern cornerback and the potential to become a bump-and-run type blanket cover guy that becomes worth his weight in gold in a pass-heavy division.
Pick Fact : The Panthers have not selected a defensive back in the 1st round since Chris Gamble back in 2004
25. Tennessee Titans - EDGE Harold Landry (Boston College)
The Titans are another team in need of WR help but I'm just not feeling it in the first round this year. They also need pass rush help. Jurrell Casey is a keeper at defensive end but Brian Orakpo and Derrick Morgan are not getting any younger on the edge and 2016 second rounder Kevin Dodd approaches bust status and would seem a much better fit in a conventional 4-3.I have the Titans taking the raw prospect Harold Landry who has drawn some comparisons with Vic Beasley in terms of his burst around the edge. Landry may find himself suffering in similar vein to Beasley in terms of his best use either as a stand up rusher or his hand in the ground but as his 16.5 sacks at BC in 2016 hint at, he has high end potential if he can bring it all together in the pro's.
Pick Fact : The franchises first ever draft pick (as the Houston Oilers) was to select Mike Ditka #8 overall in the 1961 AFL Draft. Ditka was also selected by the Bears #5 overall in the 1961 NFL Draft and elected to begin his Hall of Fame career in Chicago instead.
26. Atlanta Falcons - DT Maurice Hurst (Michigan)
The Falcons will use the draft to top-up a strong roster but I have no doubt that the interior of the defensive line is the absolute priority early and possibly often in this draft. Grady Jarrett returns from 2017 but after him only Jack Crawford remains on this roster from last year and he spent practically all of it on IR.
The Falcons may feel pressure to trade up to ensure they obtain one of the top defensive tackles in this years crop but by chance and also by way of a health concern identified at the combine that made Maurice Hurst miss out on the drills, I still have him available here at #26 and if so, I don't think the Falcons would pass on the opportunity unless their medical staff are duly concerned.
Hurst is lightning fast for an interior lineman with quick feet and hands but has a relatively slight frame for the position and could be exposed against power running schemes and mauling guards.
If Atlanta do pull the trigger on Hurst here I think they'll still look for another DT offering more bulk and run plug skills further down this draft class. Dan Quinn has publicly stated he feels there is a lot of depth on the defensive line in this class so I wouldn't be surprised to see some later picks continuing to address the current lack of depth.
Pick Fact : In the Dan Quinn era the Falcons have used each of their first two draft picks in all three drafts thus far on defensive players.
27. New Orleans Saints - WR D.J Moore (Maryland)
With the improvements seen in the D in 2017 maybe it's time for the Saints to switch attention to the other side of the ball. I think the focus would likely be on a pass catcher or interior lineman. If the Saints do look to bolster the o-line I think Will Hernandez or James Daniels could be valuable additions on the interior.
At the tight end position Coby Fleener has largely been a disappointment with only 22 catches last year, 37 year old Ben Watson was signed on a 1-yr deal. There's some depth with Josh Hill and Michael Hoomanawanui but they're mainly blockers. The Saints have lacked a difference maker at the position since Jimmy Graham departed but the Watson signing probably lessens the urgency though I'm not discounting the organisation falling for someone like Mike Gesicki, Dallas Goedert or Hayden Hurst.
However based on overall depth at TE, I've the Saints taking a young WR here instead. It looks like the Saints won't match the Ravens offer sheet for Willie Snead and Ted Ginn isn't getting any younger.
Time to bring another difference maker into the fold.
D.J Moore posted 1033 receiving yards and 8 TD's despite an injury ravaged QB situation for the Terrapins (Moore caught passes from 4 different QB's) and has an uncanny ability to make people miss once he has the ball in hand. His route running needs refinement but he has the potential to be that difference maker.
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26. Atlanta Falcons - DT Maurice Hurst (Michigan)
The Falcons will use the draft to top-up a strong roster but I have no doubt that the interior of the defensive line is the absolute priority early and possibly often in this draft. Grady Jarrett returns from 2017 but after him only Jack Crawford remains on this roster from last year and he spent practically all of it on IR.
The Falcons may feel pressure to trade up to ensure they obtain one of the top defensive tackles in this years crop but by chance and also by way of a health concern identified at the combine that made Maurice Hurst miss out on the drills, I still have him available here at #26 and if so, I don't think the Falcons would pass on the opportunity unless their medical staff are duly concerned.Hurst is lightning fast for an interior lineman with quick feet and hands but has a relatively slight frame for the position and could be exposed against power running schemes and mauling guards.
If Atlanta do pull the trigger on Hurst here I think they'll still look for another DT offering more bulk and run plug skills further down this draft class. Dan Quinn has publicly stated he feels there is a lot of depth on the defensive line in this class so I wouldn't be surprised to see some later picks continuing to address the current lack of depth.
Pick Fact : In the Dan Quinn era the Falcons have used each of their first two draft picks in all three drafts thus far on defensive players.
27. New Orleans Saints - WR D.J Moore (Maryland)
At the tight end position Coby Fleener has largely been a disappointment with only 22 catches last year, 37 year old Ben Watson was signed on a 1-yr deal. There's some depth with Josh Hill and Michael Hoomanawanui but they're mainly blockers. The Saints have lacked a difference maker at the position since Jimmy Graham departed but the Watson signing probably lessens the urgency though I'm not discounting the organisation falling for someone like Mike Gesicki, Dallas Goedert or Hayden Hurst.
However based on overall depth at TE, I've the Saints taking a young WR here instead. It looks like the Saints won't match the Ravens offer sheet for Willie Snead and Ted Ginn isn't getting any younger.
Time to bring another difference maker into the fold.
D.J Moore posted 1033 receiving yards and 8 TD's despite an injury ravaged QB situation for the Terrapins (Moore caught passes from 4 different QB's) and has an uncanny ability to make people miss once he has the ball in hand. His route running needs refinement but he has the potential to be that difference maker.
Pick Fact : If D.J Moore gets selected in the first round, he'll be the first Maryland Terrapin to get drafted that high since fellow WR Darrius Heyward-Bey in 2009
28. Pittsburgh Steelers - S Justin Reid (Stanford)
The Steelers are likely to focus early picks on the defensive side of the ball. There was a definite drop-off in play down the stretch and the Steelers could honestly benefit from a depth and/or upgrades on the d-line, linebackers and secondary.
Justin Reid has been garnering interest from a lot of teams sitting late in the first round. Super athletic, he has the instincts to help in man coverage and some ball-hawking skills as his 5 interceptions in 2017 demonstrate. The younger brother of recently released 49ers safety Eric Reid (selected #18 overall in 2013) Justin isn't at his brothers standard yet, and to that end might be a first round reach, but would instantly impact the Pittsburgh secondary regardless.
28. Pittsburgh Steelers - S Justin Reid (Stanford)
The Steelers are likely to focus early picks on the defensive side of the ball. There was a definite drop-off in play down the stretch and the Steelers could honestly benefit from a depth and/or upgrades on the d-line, linebackers and secondary.Justin Reid has been garnering interest from a lot of teams sitting late in the first round. Super athletic, he has the instincts to help in man coverage and some ball-hawking skills as his 5 interceptions in 2017 demonstrate. The younger brother of recently released 49ers safety Eric Reid (selected #18 overall in 2013) Justin isn't at his brothers standard yet, and to that end might be a first round reach, but would instantly impact the Pittsburgh secondary regardless.
Pick Fact : The Steelers lay claim to the greatest ever draft class. Seven players from the 1974 draft class made the Hall of Fame - four of those were drafted by Pittsburgh. Their first 3 picks Lynn Swann (#21), Jack Lambert (#46) and John Stallworth (#82) and fifth round pick Mike Webster (#125) all deservedly made it to Canton.
29. Jacksonville Jaguars - OG Will Hernandez (Texas El Paso)
Whilst the Jaguars coaching staff managed to coax the best out of Blake Bortles down the stretch they've hedged their bets on taking his 5th year option rather than agreeing to a long term deal. I think they'll see how this season pans out before making a final decision on Bortles so I will ignore clamour for QB to be the pick here. Despite the Jags owning a top-notch defense I could see further strengthening via a slot corner and Central Florida's Mike Hughes would be an amazing selection. Similarly I could see some succession planning on the d-line which is a position of strength but figures to be a position of aging higher priced vets down the line.
However, I'll go with Coughlin continuing to lay down a marker with smash-mouth players on offense and with arguably their weakest link on the offensive line A.J Cann hitting free agency after this year there's additional reasoning. An immediate potential upgrade via Will Hernandez of Texas El Paso would be an option. Only Quenton Nelson in this class is arguably a better run blocker and whilst Hernandez may not be the most athletic he would seem to fit the Jaguars mould and owns an aggressive streak that would appeal to Tom Coughlin. I also wouldn't entirely rule out Ohio State's Billy Price who could offer center/guard versatility and bring his own known nasty streak to Florida.
29. Jacksonville Jaguars - OG Will Hernandez (Texas El Paso)
Whilst the Jaguars coaching staff managed to coax the best out of Blake Bortles down the stretch they've hedged their bets on taking his 5th year option rather than agreeing to a long term deal. I think they'll see how this season pans out before making a final decision on Bortles so I will ignore clamour for QB to be the pick here. Despite the Jags owning a top-notch defense I could see further strengthening via a slot corner and Central Florida's Mike Hughes would be an amazing selection. Similarly I could see some succession planning on the d-line which is a position of strength but figures to be a position of aging higher priced vets down the line.
However, I'll go with Coughlin continuing to lay down a marker with smash-mouth players on offense and with arguably their weakest link on the offensive line A.J Cann hitting free agency after this year there's additional reasoning. An immediate potential upgrade via Will Hernandez of Texas El Paso would be an option. Only Quenton Nelson in this class is arguably a better run blocker and whilst Hernandez may not be the most athletic he would seem to fit the Jaguars mould and owns an aggressive streak that would appeal to Tom Coughlin. I also wouldn't entirely rule out Ohio State's Billy Price who could offer center/guard versatility and bring his own known nasty streak to Florida.
Pick Fact : If Will Hernandez does indeed get drafted in the 1st round it would be the first time a Texas El Paso draftee has been picked this high since 1968 when incidentally both Fred Carr (#5 overall) and George Daney (#22 overall) were selected in the first round. They remain the only UTEP Miners to be selected in the 1st round of an NFL draft. Even if Hernandez gets drafted outside of round one, he will become only the second player drafted out of UTEP in the last 10 years (RB Aaron Jones was selected #182 by the Pack in 2017)
30. Minnesota Vikings - CB Mike Hughes (Central Florida)
This is a strong roster but the Vikes have a couple of potential issues to address. My initial feel here was for the Vikes to focus on the corner position where Central Florida's Mike Hughes may be an ideal fit. He is ideally suited as a slot corner and should straight away step into the role that Mackensie Alexander has struggled to fill since he was drafted 2nd round in 2016. This would give Minnesota even more frightening secondary depth to an all star cast that already includes Xavier Rhodes, Trae Waynes and Harrison Smith.
However, I'm being swayed from this pick (I think) and towards O-line help following the retirement of RG Joe Berger. The Vikes may switch Mike Remmers to guard or address via the draft. Either way, it's possible they could have an o-lineman still on the board with a first round grade, possibly James Daniels who has experience at both guard and center who would make a viable alternative.
Pick Fact : In 2003 the Minnesota Vikings were on the clock to pick at #7 but did not hand in their selection in the 15 minute timeframe. In the meantime both the Panthers and Jaguars leapfrogged the Vikings taking Jordan Gross and Byron Leftwich at #7 and #8 respectively. The Vikes later stated it was due to a failed trade attempt with the Ravens and of course claimed they had selected the player they wanted all along. It wasn't a bad selection when they finally picked at #9 with Kevin Williams eventually playing 11 years for the Vikes.
31. New England Patriots - CB Carlton Davis (Auburn)
Is this the pick where New England annoint Tom Brady's eventual successor?
Mason Rudolph is still on my draft board and could be the type of QB to prosper in New England. He has ideal size at 6'5 and 235, a decent enough arm and demonstrated significant year-on-year improvements in his 3 years starting in college.
Rudolph has been invited to work out for New England but a deciding factor could be on whether the organisation believe he has the ability to take the leap from a simplified offense at Oklahoma State to the Patriots pro offense.
I think Rudolph could be the surprise pick but also suspect the Patriots will be strongly tempted to fill more immediate needs in the quest for another Super Bowl in the Tom Brady era and Carlton Davis fits the typical Patriots mould of a cornerback coming in at around 6'1 and over 200lbs.
31. New England Patriots - CB Carlton Davis (Auburn)
Is this the pick where New England annoint Tom Brady's eventual successor?
Mason Rudolph is still on my draft board and could be the type of QB to prosper in New England. He has ideal size at 6'5 and 235, a decent enough arm and demonstrated significant year-on-year improvements in his 3 years starting in college.
Rudolph has been invited to work out for New England but a deciding factor could be on whether the organisation believe he has the ability to take the leap from a simplified offense at Oklahoma State to the Patriots pro offense.I think Rudolph could be the surprise pick but also suspect the Patriots will be strongly tempted to fill more immediate needs in the quest for another Super Bowl in the Tom Brady era and Carlton Davis fits the typical Patriots mould of a cornerback coming in at around 6'1 and over 200lbs.
Pick Fact : It's 10 years since the Patriots drafted an Auburn Tiger, CB Jonathan Wilhite in the 4th round
32. Philadelphia Eagles - TE Mike Gesicki (Penn State)
The defending Super Bowl champions don't appear to have many holes to fill on the roster at first glance and may have the luxury of selecting the best player available at #32.
In terms of needs, a successor for Jason Peters may still be on the cards although Halapoulivaati Vaitai improved with every game in 2017. They may also look to bring in an additional RB with the departure of LeGarrette Blount and the jury still out on last years rookie pick Donnel Pumphrey, not forgetting Jay Ajayi enters a contract year.
It seems likely that the Eagles are looking to trade down from #32 bearing in mind that otherwise they wouldn't pick again until #130 in a class that appears to have a lot of quality depth in rounds 2 and 3. However, my mock does not allow this option.
With that in mind, the Eagles took a double hit with the free agency departure of Trey Burton and the salary cap driven release of Brent Celek. Doug Pederson's offense tends to utilise a lot of two tight end sets so I was leaning to the Eagles replacing their losses with someone like Mike Gesicki who blew up the combine with an off the charts performance. Gesicki wouldn't be much of a run blocker but then again Zach Ertz has never been asked to do too much in that respect either. However, whilst this option is not blown away in it's entirety, the signing of Richard Rodgers maybe makes it less of an urgent need but more of a medium term move.
32. Philadelphia Eagles - TE Mike Gesicki (Penn State)
The defending Super Bowl champions don't appear to have many holes to fill on the roster at first glance and may have the luxury of selecting the best player available at #32.
In terms of needs, a successor for Jason Peters may still be on the cards although Halapoulivaati Vaitai improved with every game in 2017. They may also look to bring in an additional RB with the departure of LeGarrette Blount and the jury still out on last years rookie pick Donnel Pumphrey, not forgetting Jay Ajayi enters a contract year.
It seems likely that the Eagles are looking to trade down from #32 bearing in mind that otherwise they wouldn't pick again until #130 in a class that appears to have a lot of quality depth in rounds 2 and 3. However, my mock does not allow this option.
Pick Fact : The Eagles hold the distinction of drafting the first ever player in the inaugural draft in 1936. They selected the "one man football team" from the University of Chicago, Jay Berwanger, who ended up never playing a game in the NFL, instead choosing to work for the Chicago Rubber Company.
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